Statistics / Football / Latvia. 1. Liga / Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2

Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2 Statistics & Analysis

Rēzekne FA Rēzekne FA
Sep 11, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.23
2 1.37
xG Accuracy: 68%
⚽
Super Nova 2
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Super Nova 2 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7432077

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Rēzekne FA 2–2 Super Nova 2
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Liga
  • Fixture: Rēzekne FA vs Super Nova 2
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Rēzekne FA 1.23 — Super Nova 2 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Liga 1. Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Metta / LU 20 16 3 1 51
2 Valmiera / BSS 20 16 3 1 51
3 Leevon / PPK 20 14 4 2 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 44
5 JDFS Alberts 20 11 4 5 37
6 Mārupe 20 9 1 10 28
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 25
8 Riga FC II 20 7 4 9 25
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 23
10 Rīgas FS II 19 4 3 12 15
11 Smiltene 20 3 4 13 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 12
13 Tukums II 19 3 3 13 12
14 Rēzekne FA 20 1 3 16 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Metta / LU 20 86 16 +70 51
2 Valmiera / BSS 20 58 19 +39 51
3 Riga Mariners 20 46 21 +25 44
4 JDFS Alberts 20 41 28 +13 37
5 Skanste 19 39 38 +1 23
6 Leevon / PPK 20 37 22 +15 46
7 Mārupe 20 34 32 +2 28
8 Riga FC II 20 29 37 -8 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 28 30 -2 25
10 Rīgas FS II 19 28 52 -24 15
11 Smiltene 20 27 57 -30 13
12 Tukums II 19 23 59 -36 12
13 JFK Ventspils 19 20 40 -20 12
14 Rēzekne FA 20 16 61 -45 6
1. Liga Latvia. 1. Liga Predictions