Sí 54.5% · No 45.5%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -10.6% · EV No -1.3%
Lectura de valor: BTTS No
Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- Yelimay Semey Partido equilibrado
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 37.5%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 32.8%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Moderado
- Validación
- Aprobar
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Moderado
- Validación
- Aprobar
- Mayor brecha
- Ordabasy -7.9 pp
- Amplitud
- 6/6
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.
La estimación justa y el precio de mercado difieren modestamente. Monitorear antes del inicio.
Evaluación de mercado
El mercado y el modelo coinciden en términos generales en {equipo}. La divergencia restante puede reflejar diferencias en los supuestos de fortaleza del equipo más que un desacuerdo direccional.
Sin embargo, Yelimay Semey ha visto una desviación: las probabilidades aumentaron con 0.0%, lo que sugiere un debilitamiento del soporte.
La actividad del mercado se concentra actualmente en Yelimay Semey.
- Monitorear el movimiento de la línea antes del inicio: no es una recomendación para apostar.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey | 37.54% | 32.75% | +4.8 pp |
| Empate | 29.61% | 26.49% | +3.1 pp |
| Ordabasy | 32.85% | 40.76% | -7.9 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Valor posible: Menos de 2.5 (+6.2% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Modelo magro (no es una apuesta predeterminada): {elegir}
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Convicción moderada (5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Menos de 2.5
— Valor
Yelimay Semey · Probabilidad del modelo 37.6%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 32.8%
EV línea de consenso: -4.4%
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.5%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Valor selectivo — Al menos un mercado rastreado puede alcanzar +EV con las mejores probabilidades, pero la convicción es limitada (5.0/10): tamaño reducido.
Fuerza de la decisión: 5.0 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado -11.3% ·
EV inferior +6.2%
(5 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -10.6% · EV No -1.3%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -10.6% · EV No -1.3%
Yelimay Semey market context before kickoff
⚠️ Mercado volátil on Yelimay Semey
- Odds move
- 2.87 → 2.87 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 6/6
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
- Pronóstico generado
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 2.21
- Cierre
- Pendiente
- CLV
- Pendiente
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "7c12bbea44632c6c52c4a2712024bb03001f0491e34cdcabd69f9f6c07cf5bc3",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": 0.3285,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2961,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 3.04,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.66,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.35,
"home_win_prob": 0.3754,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Ordabasy",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Ordabasy"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Yelimay Semey",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.047,
"edge_gap": 0.047,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3286,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.9,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 37.6
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 2.87
},
{
"affi_link": null,
"bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
"odd": 2.85
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 2.75
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 2.75
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
"odd": 2.7
},
{
"affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 2.65
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.87,
"bookmaker_affi": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"display_market": "Yelimay Semey Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 3.04,
"market_odds": 2.76,
"model_odds": 2.66,
"overround": 10.2,
"prob_edge": 2.8,
"value_pct": 7.9,
"value_rating": "small_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 12,
"away_score_rate": 71.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 12,
"home_score_rate": 74.1,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.25,
"home_expected": 1.35,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Yelimay Semey or Draw",
"prob": 67.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Yelimay Semey or Ordabasy",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Ordabasy",
"prob": 62.5
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Yelimay Semey or Ordabasy",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 32.9,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 37.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Yelimay Semey"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.6,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"edge": 7.9,
"implied_prob": 34.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Yelimay Semey Win",
"model_prob": 37.6,
"odds": 2.87
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.35,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1131,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -11.3,
"text": "-11.3%"
},
"ev_under": 0.0619,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 6.2,
"text": "+6.2%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0619,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10205.71,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0127,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.3,
"text": "-1.3%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1062,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -10.6,
"text": "-10.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0127,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 1796.825,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.044,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.4,
"text": "-4.4%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3275,
"max_ev": -0.044,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.4,
"text": "-4.4%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side_label": "Yelimay Semey",
"sort_key": 1789.0,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 7.9,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -7.91,
"hero_label": "Ordabasy",
"market_prob_pct": 32.8,
"market_team": "Ordabasy",
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"model_team": "Yelimay Semey",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 4.79,
"fair_prob": 37.54,
"label": "Yelimay Semey",
"market_prob": 32.75,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.12,
"fair_prob": 29.61,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 26.49,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.91,
"fair_prob": 32.85,
"label": "Ordabasy",
"market_prob": 40.76,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -4.1,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 52.3,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.1,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 47.7,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.74,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 56.24,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.74,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 43.76,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -7.91,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Ordabasy",
"market_prob_pct": 40.76,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Yelimay Semey"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 7.91,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Yelimay Semey",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_prob_pct": 32.8,
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Yelimay Semey, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Ordabasy remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -7.91,
"hero_label": "Ordabasy",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Yelimay Semey has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Ordabasy. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Yelimay Semey.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Ordabasy. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"However, Yelimay Semey has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Yelimay Semey."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Ordabasy above the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Yelimay Semey has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (6/6) supports the current market view on Yelimay Semey."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 7.91,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
"max_prob_pct": 37.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 4.79,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Yelimay Semey",
"market_prob_pct": 32.75,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.12,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 26.49,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.91,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Ordabasy",
"market_prob_pct": 40.76,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Yelimay Semey.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Ordabasy (32.8%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Yelimay Semey, Market \u2192 Ordabasy, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": null,
"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "market_monitoring",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
"entry_implied_pct": 45.25,
"entry_odds": 2.21,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "6/6",
"current_odds": 2.87,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.87,
"pick_team": "Yelimay Semey",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Yelimay Semey",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 7.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 692,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/692.webp",
"away_team_name": "Ordabasy",
"country_code": "KZ",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/kz.svg",
"country_name": "Kazakhstan",
"fixture_id": 1527994,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Kazakhstan",
"home_team_id": 21011,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/21011.webp",
"home_team_name": "Yelimay Semey",
"league_country": "Kazakhstan",
"league_id": 389,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/389.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Semey",
"venue_name": "Stadion Spartak"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3968,
"best_odd": 2.21,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0313,
"ev": -0.1684,
"implied_prob": 0.4076,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3763
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2862,
"best_odd": 3.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0088,
"ev": -0.0694,
"implied_prob": 0.2649,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2737
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4175,
"best_odd": 2.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0201,
"ev": -0.044,
"implied_prob": 0.3275,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.3476
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.17,
"best_yes_odd": 1.64,
"edge_no": 0.0174,
"edge_yes": -0.0174,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0127,
"ev_yes": -0.1062,
"implied_no": 0.4376,
"implied_yes": 0.5624,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.84,
"best_under_odd": 2.05,
"edge_over": -0.041,
"edge_under": 0.041,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1131,
"ev_under": 0.0619,
"implied_over": 0.523,
"implied_under": 0.477,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0619,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0201,
"ev": -0.044,
"implied_prob": 0.3275,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Yelimay Semey"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0174,
"ev": -0.0127,
"implied_prob": 0.4376,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.041,
"ev": 0.0619,
"implied_prob": 0.477,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1527994,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0619,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3287,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3757
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Ordabasy",
"home": "Yelimay Semey"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.022445,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0619,
"implied_prob": 0.477,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1527994,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T04:59:53.144910+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Yelimay Semey & Ordabasy!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Kazakhstan. Premier League Predicciones
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
