Tenga cuidado
Resumen:
Ambos se inclinan por FK Tobol Kostanay, pero el mercado les pone un precio más alto (51.7% vs modelo 40.4%). La ventaja sigue siendo modesta y el partido permanece relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
La estimación justa difiere notablemente de los precios actuales del mercado. Esto puede reflejar un desacuerdo genuino o entradas de calificación incompletas.
El mercado es materialmente más optimista sobre FK Tobol Kostanay que la estimación justa actual.
La actividad del mercado se alinea con la mayor brecha de precios en FK Tobol Kostanay.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 40.42% | 51.7% | -11.3 pp |
| Empate | 29.44% | 26.23% | +3.2 pp |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 30.14% | 22.07% | +8.1 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
FK Tobol Kostanay market context before kickoff
⚠️ Mercado volátil on FK Tobol Kostanay
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Etapa actual: Advertencia de validación del modelo
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"venue_name": "Centralnyj Stadion"
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"draw": {
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"calibration": {
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"edge": 0.0091,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.056,
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},
"btts": {
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"edge_no": -0.062,
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"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
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"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.1,
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"edge_over": 0.0267,
"edge_under": -0.0267,
"ev_available": true,
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},
"match_tier": "value_game",
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"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
"draw_prob": 0.2941,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4048,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.22
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.056,
"ev": -0.1932,
"implied_prob": 0.517,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "FK Tobol Kostanay"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.062,
"ev": 0.084,
"implied_prob": 0.48,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0267,
"ev": 0.0122,
"implied_prob": 0.4553,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1527992,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.084,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3012,
"draw": 0.2941,
"home": 0.4048
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Kyzyl-Zhar",
"home": "FK Tobol Kostanay"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.045528,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.084,
"implied_prob": 0.48,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.542,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1527992,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T07:58:15.232861+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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