Slavia Mozyr · Probabilidad del modelo 37.6%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 29.5%
EV línea de consenso: -0.5%
Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- Slavia Mozyr Partido equilibrado
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 37.5%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 29.5%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Moderado
- Validación
- Aprobar
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Moderado
- Validación
- Aprobar
- Mayor brecha
- Slavia Mozyr +8.0 pp
- Amplitud
- 4/4
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.
La estimación justa y el precio de mercado difieren modestamente. Monitorear antes del inicio.
Evaluación de mercado
La estimación justa muestra una modesta ventaja sobre el precio actual de mercado en Slavia Mozyr.
- Monitorear el movimiento de la línea antes del inicio: no es una recomendación para apostar.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Zhodino | 32.85% | 38.2% | -5.3 pp |
| Empate | 29.61% | 32.29% | -2.7 pp |
| Slavia Mozyr | 37.54% | 29.51% | +8.0 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
No hay apuestas predeterminadas en umbrales estándar; use inclinaciones solo para contexto.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Borde delgado: Más de 2.5 (+2.2% - debajo de la barra de tamaño predeterminada)
- Modelo magro (no es una apuesta predeterminada): {elegir}
Baja convicción (4/10): prefiera apuestas más pequeñas o saltee.
Casa de apuestas premium 1xBet: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promocional 1x_3342271. Registrarse
Mejor +EV (mercados seguidos)
Más de 2.5
— Valor
Sí 54.5% · No 45.5%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí -0.8% · EV No -10.8%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.5%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Ejecución: sin Primaria / alternativa a tamaño estándar — otros mercados pueden mostrar +EV en las tarjetas de abajo.
Mercado: puede haber una pequeña ineficiencia modelo–precio en líneas marginales o de alta varianza — no es apuesta por defecto; reduzca la apuesta si prueba.
(Técnico: al menos una línea seguida supera el umbral +EV a ≥2.0% en las mejores cuotas — no implica apuesta por defecto.)
Fuerza de la decisión: 4.0 / 10
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado +2.2% ·
EV inferior -9.9%
(3 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -0.8% · EV No -10.8%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí -0.8% · EV No -10.8%
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
- Pronóstico generado
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 3.15
- Cierre
- Pendiente
- CLV
- Pendiente
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"country_code": "BY",
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"league_name": "Premier League",
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"venue_city": "Zhodino",
"venue_name": "Stadion Torpedo"
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},
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"draw": {
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"calibration": {
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"edge": -0.0118,
"ev": -0.1056,
"implied_prob": 0.3229,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.3111
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.414,
"best_odd": 2.43,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0221,
"ev": -0.1254,
"implied_prob": 0.382,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3599
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.96,
"best_yes_odd": 1.82,
"edge_no": -0.0248,
"edge_yes": 0.0248,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1082,
"ev_yes": -0.0081,
"implied_no": 0.4798,
"implied_yes": 0.5202,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.12,
"best_under_odd": 1.74,
"edge_over": 0.0305,
"edge_under": -0.0305,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0218,
"ev_under": -0.0987,
"implied_over": 0.4515,
"implied_under": 0.5485,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0218,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0218,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4515,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "over",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0212,
"ev": -0.005,
"implied_prob": 0.2951,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Slavia Mozyr"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0248,
"ev": -0.0081,
"implied_prob": 0.5202,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0305,
"ev": 0.0218,
"implied_prob": 0.4515,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1525894,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0218,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3757,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3287
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Slavia Mozyr",
"home": "Torpedo Zhodino"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1525894,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T05:21:37.113989+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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