São Bernardo vs Juventude Predicción, Cuotas y Consejos de Apuestas con IA

{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "90252f4e74069b6ef25f00a472c33898a7a1791b4d54adbde09659bc5deee0e3",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.34,
      "away_win_prob": 0.2857,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.38,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.62,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2638,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.5,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.79,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.22,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.72,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4505,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.59,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.41
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : S\u00e3o Bernardo or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : S\u00e3o Bernardo",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.34,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
      "confidence": 45.0,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "Winner : S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "edge": 0.08,
        "edge_gap": 0.1647,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3704,
        "model_prob": 0.4504,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 28.6,
          "draw": 26.4,
          "home": 45.0
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 2.6
        },
        {
          "affi_link": null,
          "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
          "odd": 2.6
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
          "odd": 2.57
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.56
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
          "odd": 2.55
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 2.54
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
          "odd": 2.52
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 2.5
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.6,
        "bookmaker_affi": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
        "bookmaker_id": 9,
        "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
        "display_market": "S\u00e3o Bernardo Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.7,
        "market_odds": 2.5,
        "model_odds": 2.22,
        "overround": 8.0,
        "prob_edge": 6.6,
        "value_pct": 17.1,
        "value_rating": "value_bet"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 13,
        "away_score_rate": 73.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 13,
        "home_score_rate": 82.1,
        "no_prob": 38.0,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 62.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 62.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.34,
        "home_expected": 1.72,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.1
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 6.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo or Draw",
            "prob": 71.5
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo or Juventude",
            "prob": 73.7
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Juventude",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo or Juventude",
        "pick_prob": 73.7
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 28.6,
        "draw_pct": 26.4,
        "home_pct": 45.1,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 3.06,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 59.0,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 59.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.06,
        "under_prob": 41.0
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 9,
        "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
        "edge": 17.3,
        "implied_prob": 38.5,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "S\u00e3o Bernardo Win",
        "model_prob": 45.1,
        "odds": 2.6
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 10.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.72,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.5458,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 54.6,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.3645,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -36.4,
          "text": "-36.4%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.5458,
        "over_prob": 59.0,
        "sort_key": 10641.22,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 41.0,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.3274,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -32.7,
          "text": "-32.7%"
        },
        "ev_yes": 0.302,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 30.2,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.302,
        "no_prob": 38.0,
        "sort_key": 10271.8,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 62.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0098,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 1.0,
          "text": "+1.0%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3683,
        "max_ev": 0.0098,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 1.0,
          "text": "+1.0%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4504,
        "side_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "sort_key": 5207.84,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 812.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 10.8
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "2/12",
        "alert_breadth_note": "2/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
        "alert_move": "\u2193 -4.0%",
        "alert_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 8.2,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": 8.22,
        "hero_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "market_prob_pct": 36.8,
        "market_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "model_prob_pct": 45.0,
        "model_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "\u2713",
        "status_key": "aligned",
        "status_label": "Reliable prediction",
        "status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
        "steam_score": 14,
        "steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
        "steam_tier": "C",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 8.22,
          "fair_prob": 45.05,
          "label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
          "market_prob": 36.83,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -5.85,
          "fair_prob": 26.38,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 32.23,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -2.37,
          "fair_prob": 28.57,
          "label": "Juventude",
          "market_prob": 30.94,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 21.45,
          "fair_prob": 59.0,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 37.55,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -21.45,
          "fair_prob": 41.0,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 62.45,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 16.18,
          "fair_prob": 62.0,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 45.82,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -16.18,
          "fair_prob": 38.0,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 54.18,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 8.22,
        "fair_prob_pct": 45.05,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "market_prob_pct": 36.83,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "moderate",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 8.22,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "moderate",
        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
          "favourite_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
          "headline": "Slight edge match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
          "market_prob_pct": 36.8,
          "model_prob_pct": 45.0,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "The model leans S\u00e3o Bernardo, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.",
          "tier": "slight_edge",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 8.22,
        "hero_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "S\u00e3o Bernardo odds shortened \u2193 -4.0%.",
        "market_agreement": "moderate",
        "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "Confirmation remains limited (2/12 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on S\u00e3o Bernardo.",
          "note": "",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on S\u00e3o Bernardo.",
            "Confirmation remains limited (2/12 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on S\u00e3o Bernardo.",
            "Recent line movement on S\u00e3o Bernardo (\u2193 -4.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
            "Market confirmation remains limited (2/12), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 8.22,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 16.5 pp (at 45.0%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 16.5,
          "max_prob_pct": 45.0,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 8.22,
            "fair_prob_pct": 45.05,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
            "market_prob_pct": 36.83,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -5.85,
            "fair_prob_pct": 26.38,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 32.23,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -2.37,
            "fair_prob_pct": 28.57,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Juventude",
            "market_prob_pct": 30.94,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": false,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers S\u00e3o Bernardo (36.8%).",
          "S\u00e3o Bernardo has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -4.0%, 2/12).",
          "The model leans S\u00e3o Bernardo, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "market_monitoring",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
        "entry_implied_pct": 39.68,
        "entry_odds": 2.52,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 2,
        "books_total": 12,
        "breadth_display": "2/12",
        "clv_label": "Waiting for Close",
        "clv_status": "waiting",
        "current_odds": 2.4,
        "move_context": "Sharpest sharp-led move",
        "move_display": "\u2193 -4.0%",
        "move_pct_abs": 4.0,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 32h",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Volatile two-way pricing on S\u00e3o Bernardo (swing 2.60 \u2192 2.28 \u2192 2.40) \u2014 net 4.0% but intraday chop is elevated.",
          "Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "2.60 \u2192 2.28 \u2192 2.40",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 32h",
          "pick_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "2.60"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "2.28"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "2.40"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "down",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
        },
        "open_odds": 2.5,
        "page_alert_line": "",
        "phase_label": "Volatile",
        "phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
        "pick_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "",
        "sharp_leader": "Bet365",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "warn",
        "signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
        "signal_key": "volatile_market",
        "signal_label": "Volatile market",
        "steam_score": 14,
        "steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
        "steam_tier": "C",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "2/12",
        "current_odds": 2.4,
        "move_display": "\u2193 -4.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.5,
        "pick_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "steam_score": 14,
        "steam_team_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 8.2,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 152,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/152.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Juventude",
      "country_code": "BR",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
      "country_name": "Brazil",
      "fixture_id": 1520737,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Brazil",
      "home_team_id": 7865,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7865.webp",
      "home_team_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
      "league_country": "Brazil",
      "league_id": 72,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
      "league_name": "Serie B",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-21 20:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Sao Bernardo",
      "venue_name": "Estadio Primeiro de Maio"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2893,
            "best_odd": 3.0,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0069,
            "ev": -0.0924,
            "implied_prob": 0.3094,
            "model_prob": 0.2857,
            "p_final": 0.3025
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4106,
            "best_odd": 2.88,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.024,
            "ev": -0.1409,
            "implied_prob": 0.3223,
            "model_prob": 0.2638,
            "p_final": 0.2983
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3946,
            "best_odd": 2.52,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0324,
            "ev": 0.0098,
            "implied_prob": 0.3683,
            "model_prob": 0.4504,
            "p_final": 0.4007
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.77,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.1,
          "edge_no": -0.1618,
          "edge_yes": 0.1618,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.3274,
          "ev_yes": 0.302,
          "implied_no": 0.5418,
          "implied_yes": 0.4582,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.62,
          "best_under_odd": 1.55,
          "edge_over": 0.2145,
          "edge_under": -0.2145,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.5458,
          "ev_under": -0.3645,
          "implied_over": 0.3755,
          "implied_under": 0.6245,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.06,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.5458,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.62,
          "draw_prob": 0.2638,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4504,
          "over_prob": 0.59,
          "total_xg": 3.06,
          "under_prob": 0.41,
          "xg_diff": 0.38
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0324,
          "ev": 0.0098,
          "implied_prob": 0.3683,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4504,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1618,
          "ev": 0.302,
          "implied_prob": 0.4582,
          "model_prob": 0.62,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2145,
          "ev": 0.5458,
          "implied_prob": 0.3755,
          "model_prob": 0.59,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1520737,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.5458,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2857,
        "draw": 0.2638,
        "home": 0.4504
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.302,
        "implied_prob": 0.4582,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.62,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.302,
          "implied_prob": 0.4582,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.62,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "yes",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Juventude",
        "home": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.402527,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.5458,
        "implied_prob": 0.3755,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.59,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1520737,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T08:46:24.498182+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}