Sí 54.5% · No 45.5%
Vehículo eléctrico Sí +0.8% · EV No -15.8%
Lectura de valor: BTTS Sí
Evaluación de predicción
Predicción confiable
- Favorito
- Hartford Athletic Partido equilibrado
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 37.5%
- Probabilidad de mercado
- 40.1%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Fuerte
- Validación
- Aprobar
Resumen:
Tanto la marca como el mercado se inclinan hacia el {equipo}, pero ninguno indica un favorito dominante. El empate y el {segundo} siguen siendo plausibles: este es un partido relativamente abierto.
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Auditoría de Mercado
- Acuerdo de mercado
- Fuerte
- Validación
- Aprobar
- Mayor brecha
- Hartford Athletic -2.6 pp
- Amplitud
- 6/6
- Actividad actual del mercado
- Aún no hay ningún movimiento direccional significativo.
Evaluación de mercado
El mercado y el modelo están ampliamente alineados. Cualquier pequeña brecha de precios probablemente refleja un redondeo o un margen de las casas de apuestas, no un desacuerdo estructural.
La actividad del mercado se alinea con la mayor brecha de precios en Hartford Athletic.
- Los precios actuales se mantienen cerca de la base del modelo.
| Resultado | Justo | Mercado | Borde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hartford Athletic | 37.54% | 40.1% | -2.6 pp |
| Empate | 29.61% | 29.56% | +0.1 pp |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 32.85% | 30.34% | +2.5 pp |
Probabilidad justa del modelo estadístico Poisson/xG. No probabilidades de casas de apuestas. No es un consejo de apuestas.
Veredicto final de apuestas
Los diferentes mercados valoran la eficiencia de manera diferente: 1X2 puede ser un pase, mientras que los mercados de objetivos aún muestran ventaja.
- Sin valor en 1X2 ({lado} frente a las probabilidades actuales)
- Valor posible: Más de 2.5 (+6.5% EV con las mejores probabilidades)
- Borde delgado: BTTS Sí (+0.8% - debajo de la barra de tamaño predeterminada)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Convicción moderada (5/10): una línea selectiva, no una apuesta por múltiples mercados.
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Selección principal (mayor +EV)
Más de 2.5
— Valor
Hartford Athletic · Probabilidad del modelo 37.6%
Consenso de mercado (3 vías) 40.1%
EV línea de consenso: -11.5%
Mejor línea disponible (casa de apuestas): -6.8% vehículo eléctrico
Algunas cuotas outlier de casas de apuestas pueden seguir mostrando un pequeño valor teórico frente a la línea de consenso anterior.
Más probable
1-1
Probabilidad 12.5%
El marcador exacto tiene mucha varianza — solo apuestas mínimas por diversión.
Decisión de apuesta (modelo versus mercado EV)
Valor selectivo — Al menos un mercado rastreado puede alcanzar +EV con las mejores probabilidades, pero la convicción es limitada (5.0/10): tamaño reducido.
Fuerza de la decisión: 5.0 / 10
- Línea primaria identificada (+1,0)
- Probabilidad máxima de 1X2 por debajo del 50 % (sin 1X2 dominante) (−1,0)
Fuera/U 2.5:
EV terminado +6.5% ·
EV inferior -13.0%
(4 pares de libros)
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +0.8% · EV No -15.8%
BTTS: Vehículo eléctrico Sí +0.8% · EV No -15.8%
Hartford Athletic market context before kickoff
— Seguimiento on Hartford Athletic
- Odds move
- 2.33 → 2.33 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 6/6
- Steam score
- 40 (B)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Ciclo de vida de decisión
Etapa actual: Monitoreo del mercado
- Predicción generada
- Mercado comparado
- Validación aprobada
- Cierre grabado
- CLV evaluado
- Entrada
- 2.27
- Cierre
- Pendiente
- CLV
- Pendiente
Motor de decisiones OddsGPT v2.2.0
Perfeccionado de forma continua con el rendimiento del modelo, datos de mercado y resultados históricos.
Consulta las Cuotas en 1xBet
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
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"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
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"hero_side": "home",
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"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
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"bullets": [
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],
"follow_up": "",
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"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
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],
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"title": "Market Assessment"
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"paragraphs": [
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"Broad sportsbook alignment (6/6) supports the current market view on Hartford Athletic."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
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},
"interpretation": {
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"paragraphs": [
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],
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
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{
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{
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
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"status": "pending"
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
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},
"market_move_intelligence": {
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},
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"current_odds": 2.33,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
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"pick_team": "Hartford Athletic",
"steam_score": 40,
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},
"premium_teaser": {
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"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
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],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
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"show": true
},
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 4010,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4010.webp",
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"country_code": "US",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/us.svg",
"country_name": "USA",
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"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "USA",
"home_team_id": 3995,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3995.webp",
"home_team_name": "Hartford Athletic",
"league_country": "USA",
"league_id": 255,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/255.webp",
"league_name": "USL Championship",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-20 23:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Trinity Health Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
"alpha": 0.2886,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0073,
"ev": -0.0678,
"implied_prob": 0.3034,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3107
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.3,
"best_odd": 3.08,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0,
"ev": -0.0896,
"implied_prob": 0.2956,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2956
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4329,
"best_odd": 2.27,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.011,
"ev": -0.1146,
"implied_prob": 0.401,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.39
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.85,
"best_yes_odd": 1.85,
"edge_no": -0.0447,
"edge_yes": 0.0447,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1582,
"ev_yes": 0.0083,
"implied_no": 0.4997,
"implied_yes": 0.5003,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.21,
"best_under_odd": 1.68,
"edge_over": 0.0474,
"edge_under": -0.0474,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0652,
"ev_under": -0.1298,
"implied_over": 0.4346,
"implied_under": 0.5654,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0652,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.011,
"ev": -0.1146,
"implied_prob": 0.401,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Hartford Athletic"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0447,
"ev": 0.0083,
"implied_prob": 0.5003,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0474,
"ev": 0.0652,
"implied_prob": 0.4346,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1493549,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0652,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3287,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3757
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Pittsburgh Riverhounds",
"home": "Hartford Athletic"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.021998,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0652,
"implied_prob": 0.4346,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1493549,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-15T08:47:11.049360+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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