Predictions / Football / Modena

Modena Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
Italy Founded: 1912 MOD
Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Modena have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 0.78 xG but scoring 1.6 goals per game with clinical finishing. Home form has been stronger (67% home win rate vs 43% away), scoring 2.3 goals per game at home.

Performance Insights

  • Finishing Edge — 0.78 xG vs 1.6 goals/game (+0.82 above expected)
  • Home Strength — 67% home win rate, scoring 2.3 goals/game at home
  • Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
  • Balanced BTTS — 40% both teams scored in last 10 matches

Explore Modena's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
D L W W L
Win Rate
50%
Record (Last 10)
5W 1D 4L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Modena Matches

17:30
Modena Modena
Empoli Empoli
xG:

Recent Results & Statistics for Modena (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome

Modena Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 16
Goals Conceded 9
Avg. Goals Scored 1.6
Avg. Goals Conceded 0.9

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 5
Draws 1
Losses 4
Win Rate 50%
Home (3) 2W 0D 1L
Away (7) 3W 1D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%
Under 2.5 Rate 50%
BTTS Rate 40%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Modena matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (67% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (43%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%
Home Accuracy 67%
Away Accuracy 43%

Attacking Trends

Modena average 1.6 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 14.3 shots per game with 4.3 on target (30.1% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 0.78 against 1.6 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 52% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.6
Avg. Shots 14.3
Shot Accuracy 30.1%
Avg. xG 0.78
Possession 52%

Home vs Away Performance

Modena show a strong home advantage In their last 3 home and 7 away matches, they have a 67% home win rate (2W) vs 43% away (3W). At home, they score 2.3 goals/game and concede 0.7, while away they score 1.3 and concede 1.0. Their defense is notably more solid at home.

Home Win Rate 67%
Away Win Rate 43%
Home Goals/Game 2.3
Away Goals/Game 1.3

Goal Distribution

Modena's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 55% coming before half-time and 45% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 23% of goals.

14%
0-15'
23%
16-30'
18%
31-45'
18%
46-60'
9%
61-75'
18%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 55%
2nd Half Goals 45%
Peak Period 16-30 min (23%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Modena's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 1.6 + conceded 0.9). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 40% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%
Under 2.5 50%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5
BTTS Rate 40%

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