Almeria Predictions & Analysis

Spain Founded: 1989 ALM

Overperforming Attack

AI Betting Profile

Almeria have outperformed their expected goals recently, averaging 1.24 xG but scoring 2.0 goals per game with clinical finishing.

Performance Insights

Finishing Edge — 1.24 xG vs 2.0 goals/game (+0.76 above expected)
Balanced Totals — 50% Over / 50% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches
Shot Quality — 12.7 shots/game, 4.3 on target (33.9% accuracy)

Explore Almeria's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W D W D W

Win Rate

80%

Record (Last 10)

8W 2D 0L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Almeria Matches

Spain. Segunda División (1)

17:30

Almeria

34% 29% 37% PREDICTION

FC Andorra

1.31 : 1.37

xG:

1.31 : 1.37

Recent Results & Statistics for Almeria (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Almeria Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 20

Goals Conceded 7

Avg. Goals Scored 2.0

Avg. Goals Conceded 0.7

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 8

Draws 2

Losses 0

Win Rate 80%

Home (4) 3W 1D 0L

Away (6) 5W 1D 0L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 50%

Under 2.5 Rate 50%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 6/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 70%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 70%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 40%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Almeria matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (67%) than home matches (50%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%

Home Accuracy 50%

Away Accuracy 67%

Attacking Trends

Almeria average 2.0 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 12.7 shots per game with 4.3 on target (33.9% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.24 against 2.0 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. Their 51% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 2.0

Avg. Shots 12.7

Shot Accuracy 33.9%

Avg. xG 1.24

Possession 51%

Home vs Away Performance

Almeria show little home advantage In their last 4 home and 6 away matches, they have a 75% home win rate (3W) vs 83% away (5W). At home, they score 2.2 goals/game and concede 0.8, while away they score 1.8 and concede 0.7. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 75%

Away Win Rate 83%

Home Goals/Game 2.2

Away Goals/Game 1.8

Goal Distribution

Almeria's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 38% coming before half-time and 62% after. Their most dangerous period is the 46-60 minute window, accounting for 22% of goals.

0-15'

14%

16-30'

16%

31-45'

22%

46-60'

19%

61-75'

22%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 38%

2nd Half Goals 62%

Peak Period 46-60 min (22%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Almeria's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.7 (scored 2.0 + conceded 0.7). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.7

BTTS Rate 50%