Derby Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1884 DER

AI Betting Profile

Derby show no single dominant betting pattern in recent matches - performance drivers matter more than historical market trends. Away performances have been stronger than home results, with a 20% away win rate compared to 0% at home, conceding 1.4 goals per game away vs 2.0 at home.

Performance Insights

Home Struggle — 0% home win rate, conceding 2.0 goals/game at home
Balanced Totals — 60% Over / 40% Under in last 10, no clear edge
Balanced BTTS — 50% both teams scored in last 10 matches
Shot Quality — 11.1 shots/game, 4.5 on target (40.5% accuracy)

Explore Derby's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

L L L W L

Win Rate

10%

Record (Last 10)

1W 2D 7L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Derby Matches

England. Championship (1)

14:00

Burnley

32% 29% 39% PREDICTION

Derby

1.27 : 1.43

xG:

1.27 : 1.43

Recent Results & Statistics for Derby (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Derby Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 8

Goals Conceded 17

Avg. Goals Scored 0.8

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.7

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 1

Draws 2

Losses 7

Win Rate 10%

Home (5) 0W 1D 4L

Away (5) 1W 1D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%

Under 2.5 Rate 40%

BTTS Rate 50%

Avg. Total Goals 2.5

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 4/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with performance insights above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 40% (4/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 50%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 50%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 10 recent Derby matches, achieving a 40% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (60% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (20%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 40%

Home Accuracy 60%

Away Accuracy 20%

Attacking Trends

Derby average 0.8 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.1 shots per game with 4.5 on target (40.5% shot accuracy). Their 52% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 0.8

Avg. Shots 11.1

Shot Accuracy 40.5%

Possession 52%

Home vs Away Performance

Derby show little home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 0% home win rate (0W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 2.0, while away they score 0.8 and concede 1.4. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 0%

Away Win Rate 20%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 0.8

Goal Distribution

Derby's goals are predominantly scored in the first half, with 63% coming before half-time and 37% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 22% of goals.

19%

0-15'

22%

16-30'

22%

31-45'

15%

46-60'

61-75'

15%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 63%

2nd Half Goals 37%

Peak Period 16-30 min (22%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Derby's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 0.8 + conceded 1.7). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 50% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.5

BTTS Rate 50%