Derby Predictions & Analysis

England Founded: 1884 DER

High BTTS

No Strong Historical Market Edge

AI Betting Profile

Derby are a side with a distinct recent betting profile. With a low win rate, outright 1X2 markets carry more risk.

Explore Derby's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

D L L L W

Win Rate

10%

Record (Last 10)

1W 3D 6L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Derby Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Derby (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Derby Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 9

Goals Conceded 17

Avg. Goals Scored 0.9

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.7

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 1

Draws 3

Losses 6

Win Rate 10%

Home (5) 0W 1D 4L

Away (5) 1W 2D 2L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 60%

Under 2.5 Rate 40%

BTTS Rate 60%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 4/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with team traits and market signals above.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 40% (4/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 60%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 50%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 4 out of 10 recent Derby matches, achieving a 40% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (60% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (20%). The lower accuracy indicates this team's results are particularly difficult to forecast.

Overall Accuracy 40%

Home Accuracy 60%

Away Accuracy 20%

Attacking Trends

Derby average 0.9 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 11.8 shots per game with 4.7 on target (39.8% shot accuracy). Their 52% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 0.9

Avg. Shots 11.8

Shot Accuracy 39.8%

Possession 52%

Home vs Away Performance

Derby show little home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 0% home win rate (0W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 0.8 goals/game and concede 2.0, while away they score 1.0 and concede 1.4. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 0%

Away Win Rate 20%

Home Goals/Game 0.8

Away Goals/Game 1.0

Goal Distribution

Derby's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 58% coming before half-time and 42% after. Their most dangerous period is the 16-30 minute window, accounting for 23% of goals.

15%

0-15'

23%

16-30'

19%

31-45'

15%

46-60'

61-75'

19%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 58%

2nd Half Goals 42%

Peak Period 16-30 min (23%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Derby's last 10 matches, 6 games (60%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 4 (40%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.6 (scored 0.9 + conceded 1.7). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 60% of matches.

Over 2.5 60%

Under 2.5 40%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

BTTS Rate 60%