Predictions / Football / Progreso

Progreso Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
Uruguay Founded: 1917
Weak Attack Under Team Low BTTS

Primary Market Signals

  1. Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
  2. BTTS No (70%)

AI Betting Profile

Progreso are a low-scoring side with limited BTTS action. 70% finished Under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.9 total goals per game, scoring just 0.5 goals per match. Under 2.5 Goals has hit 70% of recent matches - totals markets carry more weight than outright winner bets.

Key Betting Angles

  • Under 2.5 Goals — 70% hit rate in last 10 matches
  • BTTS No — only 30% of matches saw both teams score
  • Avoid outright 1X2 — 20% win rate, limited cutting edge

Explore Progreso's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
L L W L W
Win Rate
20%
Record (Last 10)
2W 0D 8L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Progreso Matches

Recent Results & Statistics for Progreso (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome

Progreso Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 5
Goals Conceded 14
Avg. Goals Scored 0.5
Avg. Goals Conceded 1.4

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 2
Draws 0
Losses 8
Win Rate 20%
Home (5) 1W 0D 4L
Away (5) 1W 0D 4L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 30%
Under 2.5 Rate 70%
BTTS Rate 30%
Avg. Total Goals 1.9

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 6/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with team traits and market signals above.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 60%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 30%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 70%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Progreso matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (80%) than home matches (40%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%
Home Accuracy 40%
Away Accuracy 80%

Attacking Trends

Progreso average 0.5 goals per game across the last 10 matches. Their goal output suggests a more conservative or defensive approach.

Goals/Game 0.5

Home vs Away Performance

Progreso show little home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 20% home win rate (1W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 0.4 goals/game and concede 1.6, while away they score 0.6 and concede 1.2. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 20%
Away Win Rate 20%
Home Goals/Game 0.4
Away Goals/Game 0.6

Goal Distribution

Progreso's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 33% coming before half-time and 67% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 50% of goals. Notably, 50% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

17%
0-15'
17%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
17%
61-75'
50%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 33%
2nd Half Goals 67%
Peak Period 76-90 min (50%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Progreso's last 10 matches, 3 games (30%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 7 (70%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 1.9 (scored 0.5 + conceded 1.4). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 30% of matches.

Over 2.5 30%
Under 2.5 70%
Avg. Total Goals 1.9
BTTS Rate 30%

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