Toluca Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements

Mexico Founded: 1917 TOL

Strong Defense Low BTTS

Primary Market Signals

Home Win (86%)
BTTS No (70%)
Away Win (67%)

AI Betting Profile

Toluca are a side with a distinct recent betting profile. The strongest recent signal is Home Win (86%).

Key Betting Angles

Home Win — 86% win rate at home in recent sample
BTTS No — only 30% of matches saw both teams score
Away Win — 67% win rate away in recent sample

Explore Toluca's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Current Form

W W W W W

Win Rate

80%

Record (Last 10)

8W 1D 1L

Upcoming Predictions (1)

Upcoming Toluca Matches

Mexico. Liga MX (1)

00:00

Toluca

38% 29% 33% PREDICTION

Santos Laguna

1.42 : 1.30

xG:

1.42 : 1.30

Recent Results & Statistics for Toluca (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Toluca Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 21

Goals Conceded 5

Avg. Goals Scored 2.1

Avg. Goals Conceded 0.5

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 8

Draws 1

Losses 1

Win Rate 80%

Home (7) 6W 0D 1L

Away (3) 2W 1D 0L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 40%

Under 2.5 Rate 60%

BTTS Rate 30%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Reliable Model correctly called 9/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Model has tracked this team well in recent fixtures.

1X2 Prediction Accuracy 90% (9/10)

Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 60%

BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%

Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 30%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 9 out of 10 recent Toluca matches, achieving a 90% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (100% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (67%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 90%

Home Accuracy 100%

Away Accuracy 67%

Attacking Trends

Toluca average 2.1 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 16.8 shots per game with 5.4 on target (32.1% shot accuracy). With 58% average possession, Toluca employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 2.1

Avg. Shots 16.8

Shot Accuracy 32.1%

Possession 58%

Home vs Away Performance

Toluca display a moderate home advantage In their last 7 home and 3 away matches, they have a 86% home win rate (6W) vs 67% away (2W). At home, they score 2.6 goals/game and concede 0.6, while away they score 1.0 and concede 0.3. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 86%

Away Win Rate 67%

Home Goals/Game 2.6

Away Goals/Game 1.0

Goal Distribution

Toluca's goals are evenly distributed across both halves, with 44% coming before half-time and 56% after. Their most dangerous period is the 61-75 minute window, accounting for 22% of goals.

15%

0-15'

10%

16-30'

20%

31-45'

20%

46-60'

22%

61-75'

15%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 44%

2nd Half Goals 56%

Peak Period 61-75 min (22%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Toluca's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.6 (scored 2.1 + conceded 0.5). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 30% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%

Under 2.5 60%

Avg. Total Goals 2.6

BTTS Rate 30%