Toluca Match Predictions, Stats & AI Betting Insights

Mexico Founded: 1917 TOL

Explore Toluca's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

Toluca have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals per game. Their defensive record remains a concern, conceding 1.4 goals per match on average. Recent form shows a W-L-L-D-L pattern, indicating inconsistent performances. At home they are considerably stronger with a 65% win rate compared to just 33% away. Their matches show a balanced goal output with 50% finishing Over 2.5 goals.

Current Form

W L L D L

Win Rate

40%

Record (Last 10)

4W 3D 3L

Prediction Accuracy

70%

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Toluca Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Toluca (10)

Date

League

Match

Outcome

Toluca Stats & Trends

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 19

Goals Conceded 14

Avg. Goals Scored 1.9

Avg. Goals Conceded 1.4

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10

Wins 4

Draws 3

Losses 3

Win Rate 40%

Prediction Accuracy 70% (7/10)

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 7 out of 10 recent Toluca matches, achieving a 70% accuracy rate. The model performs significantly better on home games (100% accuracy) compared to away fixtures (40%). This strong accuracy suggests the model has a solid grasp of this team's playing patterns.

Overall Accuracy 70%

Home Accuracy 100%

Away Accuracy 40%

Attacking Trends

Toluca average 1.9 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 17.8 shots per game with 6.1 on target (34.3% shot accuracy). With an average xG of 1.59 against 1.9 actual goals, the team is over-performing — indicating clinical finishing. With 59% average possession, Toluca employ a possession-dominant playing style.

Goals/Game 1.9

Avg. Shots 17.8

Shot Accuracy 34.3%

Avg. xG 1.59

Possession 59%

Home vs Away Performance

Toluca show a strong home advantage with a 65% home win rate (13W in 20 games) vs 33% on the road (3W in 9 games). At home, they score 2.5 goals/game and concede 1.1, while away they score 1.3 and concede 1.1.

Home Win Rate 65%

Away Win Rate 33%

Home Goals/Game 2.5

Away Goals/Game 1.3

Goal Distribution

Toluca's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 27% coming before half-time and 73% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 36% of goals. Notably, 36% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

0-15'

16-30'

14%

31-45'

18%

46-60'

18%

61-75'

36%

76-90'

1st Half Goals 27%

2nd Half Goals 73%

Peak Period 76-90 min (36%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Toluca's last 10 matches, 5 games (50%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 5 (50%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.3 (scored 1.9 + conceded 1.4). The distribution is relatively balanced, with no strong lean either way. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 80% of matches.

Over 2.5 50%

Under 2.5 50%

Avg. Total Goals 3.3

BTTS Rate 80%