Predictions / Football / Newport County

Newport County Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
Wales Founded: 1989 NEW
Over Team High BTTS

Primary Market Signals

  1. Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
  2. BTTS Yes (70%)

AI Betting Profile

Newport County are a high-scoring, open side that frequently sees both teams score. 70% finished Over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.5 total goals per game. Over 2.5 Goals has hit 70% of recent matches - totals markets carry more weight than outright winner bets.

Key Betting Angles

  • Over 2.5 Goals — 70% hit rate in last 10 matches
  • BTTS Yes — 70% of matches saw both teams score
  • Avoid outright 1X2 — 20% win rate, limited cutting edge

Explore Newport County's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
D L L D L
Win Rate
20%
Record (Last 10)
2W 3D 5L

Upcoming Predictions (2)

Upcoming Newport County Matches

Sep 22
18:00
Swindon Town Swindon Town
Newport County Newport County
xG:
Sep 19
14:00
Accrington ST Accrington ST
Newport County Newport County
xG:

Recent Results & Statistics for Newport County (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome

Newport County Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 14
Goals Conceded 21
Avg. Goals Scored 1.4
Avg. Goals Conceded 2.1

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 2
Draws 3
Losses 5
Win Rate 20%
Home (5) 1W 2D 2L
Away (5) 1W 1D 3L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 70%
Under 2.5 Rate 30%
BTTS Rate 70%
Avg. Total Goals 3.5

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 5/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with team traits and market signals above.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 50% (5/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 40%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 70%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 5 out of 10 recent Newport County matches, achieving a 50% accuracy rate. Interestingly, the model achieves higher accuracy on away games (60%) than home matches (40%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 50%
Home Accuracy 40%
Away Accuracy 60%

Attacking Trends

Newport County average 1.4 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 9.9 shots per game with 3.3 on target (33.3% shot accuracy). Averaging 39% possession suggests a counter-attacking tactical approach.

Goals/Game 1.4
Avg. Shots 9.9
Shot Accuracy 33.3%
Possession 39%

Home vs Away Performance

Newport County show little home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 20% home win rate (1W) vs 20% away (1W). At home, they score 1.4 goals/game and concede 2.2, while away they score 1.4 and concede 2.0. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 20%
Away Win Rate 20%
Home Goals/Game 1.4
Away Goals/Game 1.4

Goal Distribution

Newport County's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 39% coming before half-time and 61% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 32% of goals. Notably, 32% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

16%
0-15'
10%
16-30'
13%
31-45'
6%
46-60'
23%
61-75'
32%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 39%
2nd Half Goals 61%
Peak Period 76-90 min (32%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Newport County's last 10 matches, 7 games (70%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 3 (30%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 3.5 (scored 1.4 + conceded 2.1). The data strongly leans towards Over 2.5, suggesting high-scoring encounters. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 70% of matches.

Over 2.5 70%
Under 2.5 30%
Avg. Total Goals 3.5
BTTS Rate 70%

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