Forecast Assessment
Reliable forecast
- Favourite
- GIL Vicente Slight favourite
- Model probability
- 54.7%
- Market agreement
- —
- Validation
- Pending
Summary:
The model leans GIL Vicente, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.
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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
- 1X2 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente ✔ Correct
- Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 2-1 ✔ Correct
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Primeira Liga — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 80 |
| 4 | SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 21 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 34 | 89 | 24 | +65 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 74 | 25 | +49 | 80 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 34 | 66 | 18 | +48 | 88 |
| 4 | SC Braga | 34 | 64 | 36 | +28 | 59 |
| 5 | Estoril | 34 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 34 | 47 | 38 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 | Arouca | 34 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 34 | 42 | 29 | +13 | 56 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 34 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 |
| 10 | Estrela | 34 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Nacional | 34 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 34 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Alverca | 34 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 34 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 34 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 |
| # | TEAM | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP | 34 | 69.0 | 23.9 | +45.1 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 68.4 | 27.3 | +41.1 | 80 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 34 | 62.1 | 22.5 | +39.6 | 88 |
| 4 | SC Braga | 34 | 57.3 | 37.3 | +20.0 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 45.6 | 33.7 | +11.9 | 56 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 34 | 44.9 | 36.8 | +8.1 | 50 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | 36.4 | 35.2 | +1.2 | 36 |
| 8 | Alverca | 34 | 39.6 | 39.2 | +0.4 | 39 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 34 | 39.3 | 45.4 | -6.1 | 42 |
| 10 | Tondela | 34 | 36.6 | 48.7 | -12.1 | 28 |
| 11 | Estoril | 34 | 42.8 | 55.2 | -12.4 | 39 |
| 12 | Nacional | 34 | 37.9 | 50.6 | -12.7 | 34 |
| 13 | Estrela | 34 | 39.8 | 52.7 | -12.9 | 30 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 34 | 34.2 | 52.3 | -18.1 | 36 |
| 15 | Arouca | 34 | 30.8 | 49.4 | -18.6 | 42 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 34 | 31.3 | 51.7 | -20.4 | 43 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 34 | 31.6 | 54.8 | -23.2 | 30 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 31.9 | 62.6 | -30.7 | 21 |