Predictions / Football / Nacional

Nacional Predictions & Analysis

Market Movements
Portugal Founded: 1910 NAC
Low BTTS Weak Attack Home Fortress

Primary Market Signals

  1. BTTS No (70%)

AI Betting Profile

Nacional are a side that relies heavily on home form. Scoring just 0.7 goals per match. BTTS No has hit 70% of recent matches - one of the clearest historical edges for this team.

Key Betting Angles

  • BTTS No — only 30% of matches saw both teams score
  • Avoid outright 1X2 — 20% win rate, limited cutting edge

Explore Nacional's predicted performance, expert insights, and statistical breakdowns for their upcoming matches in the season.

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Current Form
W L W L L
Win Rate
20%
Record (Last 10)
2W 0D 8L

Upcoming Predictions (0)

Upcoming Nacional Matches

No upcoming match predictions available

Recent Results & Statistics for Nacional (10)

Date
League
Match
Outcome

Nacional Stats & Trends

All figures below are based on the last 10 completed matches.

Performance Stats

Goals Scored 7
Goals Conceded 18
Avg. Goals Scored 0.7
Avg. Goals Conceded 1.8

Form Analysis

Matches Played 10
Wins 2
Draws 0
Losses 8
Win Rate 20%
Home (5) 2W 0D 3L
Away (5) 0W 0D 5L

Match Trends

Over 2.5 Rate 40%
Under 2.5 Rate 60%
BTTS Rate 30%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5

AI Prediction Record

Forecast Reliability Moderate Model correctly called 6/10 outcomes (1X2) in recent matches. Mixed record — cross-check with team traits and market signals above.
1X2 Prediction Accuracy 60% (6/10)
Over 2.5 Prediction Accuracy 50%
BTTS Prediction Accuracy 40%
Correct Score Prediction Accuracy 60%

AI Model Insight

Prediction Accuracy Explained

Our AI model correctly predicted 6 out of 10 recent Nacional matches, achieving a 60% accuracy rate. The model shows consistent accuracy across both home and away fixtures (60%). This moderate accuracy reflects the inherent unpredictability of match outcomes.

Overall Accuracy 60%
Home Accuracy 60%
Away Accuracy 60%

Attacking Trends

Nacional average 0.7 goals per game across the last 10 matches. They generate 9.9 shots per game with 3.6 on target (36.4% shot accuracy). Their average xG of 0.74 closely matches their output, indicating consistent finishing. Their 46% average possession reflects a balanced tactical approach.

Goals/Game 0.7
Avg. Shots 9.9
Shot Accuracy 36.4%
Avg. xG 0.74
Possession 46%

Home vs Away Performance

Nacional show a strong home advantage In their last 5 home and 5 away matches, they have a 40% home win rate (2W) vs 0% away (0W). At home, they score 1.0 goals/game and concede 2.0, while away they score 0.4 and concede 1.6. Interestingly, their defensive record is actually better away from home.

Home Win Rate 40%
Away Win Rate 0%
Home Goals/Game 1.0
Away Goals/Game 0.4

Goal Distribution

Nacional's goals are predominantly scored in the second half, with 38% coming before half-time and 62% after. Their most dangerous period is the 76-90 minute window, accounting for 31% of goals. Notably, 31% of their goals come in the final 15 minutes (76-90'), making them a genuine late-game threat.

8%
0-15'
8%
16-30'
23%
31-45'
8%
46-60'
23%
61-75'
31%
76-90'
1st Half Goals 38%
2nd Half Goals 62%
Peak Period 76-90 min (31%)

Over/Under 2.5 Analysis

In Nacional's last 10 matches, 4 games (40%) finished with Over 2.5 goals while 6 (60%) were Under 2.5. The average total goals per match is 2.5 (scored 0.7 + conceded 1.8). The trend clearly favors Under 2.5, indicating typically low-scoring affairs. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 30% of matches.

Over 2.5 40%
Under 2.5 60%
Avg. Total Goals 2.5
BTTS Rate 30%

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