Market Movement - Brazil - Serie B
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Athletic Club vs Sport Recife (7.1%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club vs Sport Recife Serie B · Thu 23:30 | Sport Recife | 2.8 |
3.0
kickoff in 13m |
↑ +7.1%
2.8
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 78h 53m 3.80 → 2.52 → 3.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +38.2%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +27.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.4%
Betano
↑ +15.2%
William Hill
↑ +14.5%
1xBet
↑ +14.3%
BetVictor
↑ +12.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.1%
|
Steam Score:
55
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +16/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Closing-window persistence: +2/8
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | P30: 3.48 | Betfair led repricing on Sport Recife (7.1%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |