Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
5.8%
Market Movement - Qatar - QSL Cup
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Al Shamal vs Muaither SC (8.9%).
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 100% shortening · 0% lengtheningModerate
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal vs Muaither SC QSL Cup · Thu 17:15 | Muaither SC | 4.5 |
4.1
since pub · 13h 6m |
↓ -8.9%
4.5
4.1
🐢 Slow drift over 13h 6m 6.50 → 4.10 → 4.10 |
📈 Steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -23.1%
BetVictor
↓ -19.2%
William Hill
↓ -16.4%
1xBet
↓ -14.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -12.1%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -11.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.9%
Betano
↓ -5.4%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +20/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Muaither SC (8.9%, 8/8) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Qatar SC vs Al Bidda SC QSL Cup · Thu 17:15 | Al Bidda SC | 3.8 |
3.7
since pub · 13h 6m |
↓ -2.6%
3.8
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 13h 6m 4.80 → 3.70 → 3.70 |
↗ Market support |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/8
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↓ -9.1%
BetVictor
↓ -6.2%
1xBet
↓ -5.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -5.3%
Betano
↓ -4.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -3.8%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -3.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -2.6%
|
Steam Score:
47
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +6/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Discovery | Waiting for Close | Market support on Al Bidda SC (2.6%) — 8/8 books shortening the line. |
