Market Movement - France - National 1
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Bastia vs Orleans (4.8%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
League Intelligence (30 days)
National 1 (France) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 42.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 67% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, France - National 1 has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 42.0. Typical line moves averaged 4.8% and the largest swing reached 4.8%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia vs Orleans National 1 · Thu 18:45 | Draw | 3.1 |
3.25
since pub · 59h 51m |
↑ +4.8%
3.1
3.25
🐢 Slow drift over 59h 51m 3.61 → 2.87 → 3.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +20.3%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +5.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
42
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | P1: 3.31 · P5: 3.31 · P10: 3.31 · P30: 3.31 | Pinnacle led repricing on Draw (4.8%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |