Market Movement - Poland - II Liga East
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.4% move).
- Strongest steam: Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin (11.9%, 9 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 33% shortening · 67% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -11.9%
- 2 ↑ +4.0%
- 3 ↑ +3.3%
Biggest Steam
-
Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin ↓ -11.9% Steam 62
-
2
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II ↑ +3.3% Steam 38
-
3
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Śląsk Wrocław II ↑ +4.0% Steam 36
Highest Breadth
-
1
Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin ↓ -11.9% 6/9
-
2
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II ↑ +3.3% 6/9
-
3
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Śląsk Wrocław II ↑ +4.0% 5/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin ↓ -11.9%
- 2
- 3
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin ↓ -11.9%
- 2
- 3
League Intelligence (30 days)
II Liga - East (Poland) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 49.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 61% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Poland - II Liga East has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 49.0. Typical line moves averaged 8.0% and the largest swing reached 11.9%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 0.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin | Avia Świdnik | Świt Skolwin ↓ -11.9% | -15.0 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Stal Stalowa Wola vs Śląsk Wrocław II | Stal Stalowa Wola | Draw ↑ +4.0% | -13.3 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II | Lechia Zielona Góra | Legia Warszawa II ↑ +3.3% | -12.2 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin | Świt Skolwin | ↓ -11.9% | 📈 Steam | 6/9 | Steam Score: 62 A |
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| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avia Świdnik vs Świt Skolwin II Liga - East · Sat 13:00 | Świt Skolwin | 4.2 |
3.7
since pub · 79h 40m |
↓ -11.9%
4.2
3.7
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 40m 4.40 → 3.40 → 3.70 |
📈 Steam | Bet365 |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -11.9%
Betano
↓ -10.6%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -9.1%
Dafabet
↓ -4.9%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.7%
1xBet
↓ -4.3%
|
Steam Score:
62
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +26/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Multi-book steam on Świt Skolwin (11.9%, 6/9) — aligned shortening, not a single-book blip. |
| Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II II Liga - East · Sat 16:00 | Legia Warszawa II | 3.0 |
3.1
kickoff in 112m |
↑ +3.3%
3.0
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 40m 3.18 → 2.74 → 3.10 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +13.9%
Dafabet
↑ +12.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +3.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +3.3%
William Hill
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +7/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Legia Warszawa II (3.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Stal Stalowa Wola vs Śląsk Wrocław II II Liga - East · Sat 14:00 | Draw | 3.75 |
3.9
since pub · 79h 40m |
↑ +4.0%
3.75
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 40m 4.00 → 3.25 → 3.90 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
5/9
Books moving same direction
Dafabet
↑ +6.8%
Betano
↑ +5.3%
BetVictor
↑ +4.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.0%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +2.6%
|
Steam Score:
36
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Draw (4.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |