Market Movement - Poland - II Liga East
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II (3.3%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
II Liga - East (Poland) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 38.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 67% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Poland - II Liga East has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 38.0. Typical line moves averaged 3.3% and the largest swing reached 3.3%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Zielona Góra vs Legia Warszawa II II Liga - East · Sat 16:00 | Legia Warszawa II | 3.0 |
3.1
since pub · 79h 40m |
↑ +3.3%
3.0
3.1
🐢 Slow drift over 79h 40m 3.18 → 2.74 → 3.10 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +13.9%
Dafabet
↑ +12.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +8.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +3.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +3.3%
William Hill
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
38
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +7/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Legia Warszawa II (3.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |