Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
23.5%
Market Movement - Iraq - Iraqi League
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Al-Karma vs Al Karkh (23.5%).
Today's Market Health
★★
☆☆☆
Thin / volatile
Low liquidity · Mixed consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 100% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Karma vs Al Karkh Iraqi League · Sat 17:30 | Al Karkh | 8.5 |
6.5
kickoff in 11m |
↓ -23.5%
8.5
6.5
🐢 Slow drift over 29h 36m 8.50 → 6.50 → 6.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
3/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -23.5%
Betano
↓ -15.2%
BetVictor
↓ -5.9%
|
Steam Score:
63
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +11/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Al Karkh (23.5%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
