Market Movement - World - CONCACAF Nations League
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 4 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 30.9% move).
- Strongest steam: Dominica vs Guyana (20.0%, 8 books).
- 4 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 4 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 4 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +66.7%
- 2 ↑ +23.1%
- 3 ↑ +20.0%
Biggest Steam
-
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +20.0% Steam 83
-
2
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +66.7% Steam 80
-
3
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin ↑ +23.1% Steam 67
Highest Breadth
-
1
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +20.0% 8/8
-
2
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +66.7% 7/8
-
3
Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago ↑ +13.9% 7/8
Most Books Agree
-
1
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +20.0%
-
2
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +66.7%
-
3
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin ↑ +23.1%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +66.7%
-
2
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin ↑ +23.1%
-
3
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +20.0%
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat | Montserrat | British Virgin Islands ↑ +66.7% | -42.6 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Dominica vs Guyana | Guyana | Dominica ↑ +20.0% | -36.3 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin | Saint Martin | US Virgin Islands ↑ +23.1% | -34.6 pp | Model Breakdown Risk |
| Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago | Curaçao | Trinidad and Tobago ↑ +13.9% | -13.3 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominica vs Guyana | Dominica | ↑ +20.0% | 📉 Strong drift | 8/8 | Steam Score: 83 A+ |
| British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat | British Virgin Islands | ↑ +66.7% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/8 | Steam Score: 80 A+ |
| US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin | US Virgin Islands | ↑ +23.1% | ↘ Drift | 5/8 | Steam Score: 67 A |
| Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago | Trinidad and Tobago | ↑ +13.9% | ↘ Drift | 7/8 | Steam Score: 60 A |
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominica vs Guyana CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 21:00 | Dominica | 7.5 |
9.0
kickoff in 16h 1m |
↑ +20.0%
7.5
9.0
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 54m 12.00 → 7.50 → 9.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +27.0%
William Hill
↑ +26.3%
Betano
↑ +25.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +17.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +15.8%
BetVictor
↑ +14.3%
|
Steam Score:
83
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened Dominica together (20.0% drift, score 83) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 19:00 | British Virgin Islands | 6.0 |
10.0
kickoff in 14h 1m |
↑ +66.7%
6.0
10.0
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 46m 15.00 → 6.00 → 10.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
William Hill
↑ +76.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +66.7%
Betano
↑ +26.5%
1xBet
↑ +21.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +20.8%
BetVictor
↑ +15.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +8.3%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened British Virgin Islands together (66.7% drift, score 80) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 20:00 | US Virgin Islands | 6.5 |
8.0
kickoff in 15h 1m |
↑ +23.1%
6.5
8.0
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 54m 10.25 → 6.50 → 8.00 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
5/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +23.1%
Betano
↑ +9.9%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.9%
William Hill
↑ +5.6%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.4%
|
Steam Score:
67
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +19/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on US Virgin Islands (23.1%, 5/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 22:00 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3.6 |
4.1
kickoff in 17h 1m |
↑ +13.9%
3.6
4.1
🐢 Slow drift over 31h 54m 4.75 → 3.60 → 4.10 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.9%
BetVictor
↑ +13.1%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +9.7%
Betano
↑ +6.0%
1xBet
↑ +2.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +2.2%
William Hill
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
60
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +31/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Trinidad and Tobago (13.9%, 7/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |