Market Movement - World - CONCACAF Nations League
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 4 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 43.9% move).
- Strongest steam: British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat (83.3%, 8 books).
- 4 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 4 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 4 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +83.3%
- 2 ↑ +38.5%
- 3 ↑ +33.3%
Biggest Steam
-
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +83.3% Steam 84
-
2
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin ↑ +38.5% Steam 84
-
3
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +33.3% Steam 81
Highest Breadth
-
1
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +83.3% 8/8
-
2
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin ↑ +38.5% 8/8
-
3
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +33.3% 8/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +33.3%
-
2
Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago ↑ +20.3%
-
3
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +83.3%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat ↑ +83.3%
-
2
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin ↑ +38.5%
-
3
Dominica vs Guyana ↑ +33.3%
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 19:00 | British Virgin Islands | 6.0 |
11.0
kickoff in 10h 5m |
↑ +83.3%
6.0
11.0
🐢 Slow drift over 33h 10m 16.25 → 6.00 → 11.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +83.3%
William Hill
↑ +76.5%
Betano
↑ +41.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +35.4%
1xBet
↑ +34.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +16.7%
BetVictor
↑ +15.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +14.2%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened British Virgin Islands together (83.3% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 20:00 | US Virgin Islands | 6.5 |
9.0
kickoff in 11h 5m |
↑ +38.5%
6.5
9.0
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 18m 11.25 → 6.50 → 9.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +38.5%
Betano
↑ +30.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +24.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.6%
BetVictor
↑ +11.1%
William Hill
↑ +11.1%
1xBet
↑ +9.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.8%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened US Virgin Islands together (38.5% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Dominica vs Guyana CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 21:00 | Dominica | 7.5 |
10.0
kickoff in 12h 5m |
↑ +33.3%
7.5
10.0
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 18m 12.00 → 7.50 → 10.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +33.3%
1xBet
↑ +27.0%
William Hill
↑ +26.3%
Betano
↑ +25.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +17.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +15.8%
BetVictor
↑ +14.3%
|
Steam Score:
81
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Dominica together (33.3% drift, score 81) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago CONCACAF Nations League · Thu 22:00 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3.6 |
4.33
kickoff in 13h 5m |
↑ +20.3%
3.6
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 18m 5.05 → 3.60 → 4.33 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.3%
BetVictor
↑ +19.0%
Betano
↑ +15.5%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +15.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +13.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +9.9%
1xBet
↑ +9.5%
William Hill
↑ +6.7%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Trinidad and Tobago together (20.3% drift, score 80) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |