Market Movement - Paraguay - Copa Paraguay
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion (12.5%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
League Intelligence (30 days)
Copa Paraguay (Paraguay) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Cup competitions often produce higher odds volatility because of squad rotation, knockout incentives, and lower market liquidity. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 57.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 88% breadth, with 1 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Paraguay - Copa Paraguay has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 57.0. Typical line moves averaged 12.5% and the largest swing reached 12.5%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented 100.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente F.b.c. vs Nacional Asuncion Copa Paraguay · Wed 20:00 | Independiente F.b.c. | 4.0 |
4.5
since pub · 25h 45m |
↑ +12.5%
4.0
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 25h 45m 4.61 → 4.00 → 4.50 |
↘ Drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.7%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
Betano
↑ +4.8%
1xBet
↑ +3.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +3.1%
BetVictor
↑ +2.3%
|
Steam Score:
57
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 20% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Market drift | P1: 4.18 · P5: 4.18 · P10: 4.18 · P30: 4.18 | Multi-book drift on Independiente F.b.c. (12.5%, 7/8) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |