Today's Summary
2
Significant Movements
Avg Move
14.6%
Market Movement - Uruguay - Primera División Apertura
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 14.6% move).
- Strongest steam: Penarol vs Progreso (22.2%, 10 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol vs Progreso Primera División - Apertura · Sat 21:30 | Progreso | 9.0 |
7.0
kickoff in 5h 2m |
↓ -22.2%
9.0
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 125h 54m 9.00 → 6.28 → 7.00 |
🔥 Strong steam | Bet365 |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -22.2%
Betano
↓ -17.6%
1xBet
↓ -12.9%
William Hill
↓ -12.5%
Marathonbet
↓ -7.5%
BetVictor
↓ -6.2%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -5.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -5.7%
Dafabet
↓ -5.1%
|
Steam Score:
96
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 9/10 books synchronized on Progreso (22.2% steam, score 96) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Wanderers vs Boston River Primera División - Apertura · Sat 18:00 | Boston River | 2.8 |
3.0
kickoff in 92m |
↑ +7.1%
2.8
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 116h 25m 3.20 → 2.80 → 3.00 |
⚠️ Volatile market | Bet365 |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +7.1%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.9%
BetVictor
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
32
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +16/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Boston River (swing 3.20 → 2.80 → 3.00) — net 7.1% but intraday chop is elevated. |
