Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
4.2%
Market Movement - France - National 1
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Bastia vs Orleans (4.2%).
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia vs Orleans National 1 · Thu 18:45 | Orleans | 2.88 |
3.0
kickoff in 4h 13m |
↑ +4.2%
2.88
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 55h 48m 3.39 → 2.78 → 3.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
5/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +13.0%
BetVictor
↑ +11.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +4.6%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +4.2%
|
Steam Score:
37
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +17/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Orleans (4.2%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
