Market Movement - El Salvador - Primera Division
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 9.6% move).
- Strongest steam: Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo (5.3%, 8 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
Primera Division (El Salvador) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 41.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 64% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, El Salvador - Primera Division has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 41.0. Typical line moves averaged 6.6% and the largest swing reached 13.9%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAS vs Isidro Metapán Primera Division · Thu 02:00 | FAS | 1.8 |
2.05
since pub · 35h 48m |
↑ +13.9%
1.8
2.05
🐢 Slow drift over 35h 48m 2.20 → 1.61 → 2.05 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
2/7
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +13.9%
1xBet
↑ +4.4%
|
Steam Score:
44
B
Moderate sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +31/45
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on FAS (13.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo Primera Division · Thu 21:30 | Fuerte San Francisco | 4.75 |
4.5
kickoff in 12h 44m |
↓ -5.3%
4.75
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 37h 31m 5.73 → 4.33 → 4.50 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
7/8
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↓ -13.1%
Betano
↓ -10.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -5.3%
Marathonbet
↓ -4.6%
William Hill
↓ -4.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -3.6%
1xBet
↓ -2.7%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Fuerte San Francisco (5.3%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |