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Market Movement - World - Africa Cup of Nations Qualification

Predictions

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 1

Today's Summary

1 Significant Movements
Avg Move 11.1%

Today's Market Analysis

  • Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Guinea vs Kenya (11.1%).

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 1 moves > threshold
    Low
  • Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV data
    Active
Live Market Moves Early Sharp Moves Final Closing Moves Move Review
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

1
Matches reviewed
0.0%
Largest move held to close
0.0%
Tracked side won
0.0%
Held & won
-100.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 81 matches · 27.2% held · Replay ROI -60.5%

Large market moves are common, but most do not survive to the closing line and have not been profitable in this sample.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 22%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(1) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Guinea vs Kenya Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Thu 16:00 Draw 3.25 3.61 -10.0% ✗ Reversed L 1-0
Steam Score 54 B
Market Breadth 8/9
Sharp-led move Bet365
P1: 3.61 · P5: 3.61 · P10: 3.61 · P30: 3.61