Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
6.7%
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Pro League · Sat 18:00 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7.5 |
8.0
kickoff in 53m |
↑ +6.7%
7.5
8.0
🐢 Slow drift over 84h 52m 9.00 → 5.90 → 8.00 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +13.5%
SBO Sharp
↑ +12.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +6.7%
BetVictor
↑ +6.2%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +5.9%
Betano
↑ +4.4%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +15/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on Al-Ittihad FC (6.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
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