Today's Summary
2
Significant Movements
Avg Move
8.1%
Market Movement - Slovenia - 2. SNL
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 8.1% move).
- Strongest steam: Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika (26.7%, 8 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +26.7%
- 2 ↑ +5.6%
Biggest Steam
-
Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika ↑ +26.7% Steam 80
-
2
Beltinci vs Bilje ↑ +5.6% Steam 46
Highest Breadth
-
1
Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika ↑ +26.7% 7/8
-
2
Beltinci vs Bilje ↑ +5.6% 6/8
Most Books Agree
-
1
Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika ↑ +26.7%
-
2
Beltinci vs Bilje ↑ +5.6%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika ↑ +26.7%
-
2
Beltinci vs Bilje ↑ +5.6%
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beltinci vs Bilje | Beltinci | Draw ↑ +5.6% | -28.9 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika | Dekani | Dren Vrhnika ↑ +26.7% | -15.1 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika | Dren Vrhnika | ↑ +26.7% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/8 | Steam Score: 80 A+ |
| Beltinci vs Bilje | Draw | ↑ +5.6% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 6/8 | Steam Score: 46 B |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(4) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dekani vs Dren Vrhnika 2. SNL · Sat 14:00 | Dren Vrhnika | 3.0 |
3.8
kickoff in 87m |
↑ +26.7%
3.0
3.8
🐢 Slow drift over 41h 6m 4.05 → 2.80 → 3.80 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
7/8
Books moving same direction
BetVictor
↑ +28.6%
1xBet
↑ +27.5%
Marathonbet
↑ +27.5%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +26.7%
Betano
↑ +24.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.1%
Dafabet
↑ +23.1%
|
Steam Score:
80
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +26/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/8 books lengthened Dren Vrhnika together (26.7% drift, score 80) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Beltinci vs Bilje 2. SNL · Sat 14:00 | Draw | 4.5 |
4.75
kickoff in 87m |
↑ +5.6%
4.5
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 41h 29m 5.20 → 4.10 → 4.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
6/8
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +7.4%
Marathonbet
↑ +7.4%
Betano
↑ +6.2%
Dafabet
↑ +6.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.6%
BetVictor
↑ +2.4%
|
Steam Score:
46
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +12/45
Book synchronization: +22/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Draw (5.6%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Ilirija vs Krka 2. SNL · Sat 14:00 | Ilirija | 2.55 |
2.55
kickoff in 87m |
+0.0%
— Stable line |
◆ Efficient market | Bet365 |
1/1
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
7
C
Limited conviction
No steam signal confirmed — market remains efficient after 24h+ with no meaningful repricing. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityEfficient market — no new consensus formed after extended observation.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Efficient market adjustment: -25
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— | Illiquid | Waiting for Close | Market remains efficient on Ilirija — no meaningful repricing after 24h+ (0.0% net). |
| Jesenice vs Brežice 2. SNL · Sat 14:00 | Jesenice | 1.65 |
1.65
kickoff in 87m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.80 → 1.57 → 1.65 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
2/8
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
2
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +8/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Jesenice (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 13.6% — price repriced then reverted. |
