Today's Summary
5
Significant Movements
Avg Move
15.7%
Market Movement - Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 5 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 15.7% move).
- Strongest steam: Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco (27.3%, 9 books).
- 6 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★★
☆
Healthy market
High liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 5 moves > thresholdHigh
-
Bookmaker Consensus 6 broad repricing eventsModerate
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 83% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +27.3%
- 2 ↑ +20.3%
- 3 ↑ +20.0%
Biggest Steam
-
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco ↑ +27.3% Steam 84
-
2
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo ↑ +20.3% Steam 77
-
3
Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones ↑ +20.0% Steam 76
Highest Breadth
-
1
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco ↑ +27.3% 9/9
-
2
Flandria vs Defensores Unidos ↑ +11.0% 8/9
-
3
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo ↑ +20.3% 7/9
Most Books Agree
- 1
- 2
-
3
Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones ↑ +20.0%
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
-
2
Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones ↑ +20.0%
- 3
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco | Arsenal Sarandi | San Martín Burzaco ↑ +27.3% | -26.4 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes | Ituzaingó | Ituzaingó ↑ +15.4% | +17.4 pp | Strong Disagreement |
| Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo | Deportivo Laferrere | Deportivo Merlo ↑ +20.3% | -13.5 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Flandria vs Defensores Unidos | Defensores Unidos | Defensores Unidos ↑ +11.0% | +11.4 pp | Strong Disagreement |
| Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones | Comunicaciones | Comunicaciones ↑ +20.0% | +7.6 pp | Mild Value |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco | San Martín Burzaco | ↑ +27.3% | 📉 Strong drift | 9/9 | Steam Score: 84 A+ |
| Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo | Deportivo Merlo | ↑ +20.3% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/9 | Steam Score: 77 A+ |
| Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones | Comunicaciones | ↑ +20.0% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/9 | Steam Score: 76 A+ |
| Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes | Ituzaingó | ↑ +15.4% | 📉 Strong drift | 7/9 | Steam Score: 66 A |
| Flandria vs Defensores Unidos | Defensores Unidos | ↑ +11.0% | ↘ Drift | 8/9 | Steam Score: 54 B |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(6) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | San Martín Burzaco | 5.5 |
7.0
kickoff in 3h 1m |
↑ +27.3%
5.5
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 40m 7.17 → 4.40 → 7.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +56.8%
Dafabet
↑ +55.6%
1xBet
↑ +52.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +47.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +41.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +27.3%
BetVictor
↑ +25.0%
William Hill
↑ +7.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened San Martín Burzaco together (27.3% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Deportivo Merlo | 3.6 |
4.33
kickoff in 3h 1m |
↑ +20.3%
3.6
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 29h 44m 4.64 → 3.20 → 4.33 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +35.3%
Dafabet
↑ +33.3%
1xBet
↑ +30.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +30.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +29.4%
BetVictor
↑ +28.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.3%
|
Steam Score:
77
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Deportivo Merlo together (20.3% drift, score 77) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:30 | Comunicaciones | 3.25 |
3.9
kickoff in 3h 31m |
↑ +20.0%
3.25
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 40m 4.05 → 3.00 → 3.90 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +28.6%
1xBet
↑ +23.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
BetVictor
↑ +20.0%
Dafabet
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
76
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Comunicaciones together (20.0% drift, score 76) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Ituzaingó | 3.9 |
4.5
kickoff in 3h 1m |
↑ +15.4%
3.9
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 29h 44m 4.60 → 2.98 → 4.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +50.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +46.7%
Dafabet
↑ +45.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +42.6%
1xBet
↑ +42.5%
BetVictor
↑ +21.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.4%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Ituzaingó together (15.4% drift, score 66) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Flandria vs Defensores Unidos Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Defensores Unidos | 3.9 |
4.33
kickoff in 3h 1m |
↑ +11.0%
3.9
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 40m 4.33 → 3.40 → 4.33 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +18.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +16.7%
Betano
↑ +16.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.0%
BetVictor
↑ +10.3%
Dafabet
↑ +7.9%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Defensores Unidos (11.0%, 8/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Villa Dalmine vs Liniers Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Villa Dalmine | 1.75 |
1.75
kickoff in 3h 1m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.90 → 1.67 → 1.75 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -1.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -1.1%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
20
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Villa Dalmine (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 12.9% — price repriced then reverted. |
