Today's Summary
5
Significant Movements
Avg Move
15.7%
Market Movement - Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 5 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 15.7% move).
- Strongest steam: Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco (27.3%, 9 books).
- 6 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★★
☆
Healthy market
High liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 5 moves > thresholdHigh
-
Bookmaker Consensus 6 broad repricing eventsModerate
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 83% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +27.3%
- 2 ↑ +20.3%
- 3 ↑ +20.0%
Biggest Steam
-
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco ↑ +27.3% Steam 84
-
2
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo ↑ +20.3% Steam 77
-
3
Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones ↑ +20.0% Steam 76
Highest Breadth
-
1
Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco ↑ +27.3% 9/9
-
2
Flandria vs Defensores Unidos ↑ +11.0% 8/9
-
3
Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo ↑ +20.3% 7/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Flandria vs Defensores Unidos ↑ +11.0%
- 2
- 3
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
-
2
Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones ↑ +20.0%
- 3
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(6) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flandria vs Defensores Unidos Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Defensores Unidos | 3.9 |
4.33
kickoff in 2h 8m |
↑ +11.0%
3.9
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 40m 4.33 → 3.40 → 4.33 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +18.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +18.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +16.7%
Betano
↑ +16.4%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +11.0%
BetVictor
↑ +10.3%
Dafabet
↑ +7.9%
William Hill
↑ +5.0%
|
Steam Score:
54
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +24/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Defensores Unidos (11.0%, 8/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
| Arsenal Sarandi vs San Martín Burzaco Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | San Martín Burzaco | 5.5 |
7.0
kickoff in 2h 8m |
↑ +27.3%
5.5
7.0
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 40m 7.17 → 4.40 → 7.00 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
9/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +56.8%
Dafabet
↑ +55.6%
1xBet
↑ +52.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +47.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +41.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +27.3%
BetVictor
↑ +25.0%
William Hill
↑ +7.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.2%
|
Steam Score:
84
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 9/9 books lengthened San Martín Burzaco together (27.3% drift, score 84) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Deportivo Laferrere vs Deportivo Merlo Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Deportivo Merlo | 3.6 |
4.33
kickoff in 2h 8m |
↑ +20.3%
3.6
4.33
🐢 Slow drift over 29h 44m 4.64 → 3.20 → 4.33 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +35.3%
Dafabet
↑ +33.3%
1xBet
↑ +30.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +30.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +29.4%
BetVictor
↑ +28.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.3%
|
Steam Score:
77
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Deportivo Merlo together (20.3% drift, score 77) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Deportivo Armenio vs Comunicaciones Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:30 | Comunicaciones | 3.25 |
3.9
kickoff in 2h 38m |
↑ +20.0%
3.25
3.9
🐢 Slow drift over 27h 40m 4.05 → 3.00 → 3.90 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +28.6%
1xBet
↑ +23.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +23.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +20.0%
BetVictor
↑ +20.0%
Dafabet
↑ +4.8%
|
Steam Score:
76
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +44/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Comunicaciones together (20.0% drift, score 76) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Ituzaingó vs Argentino Quilmes Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Ituzaingó | 3.9 |
4.5
kickoff in 2h 8m |
↑ +15.4%
3.9
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 29h 44m 4.60 → 2.98 → 4.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +50.8%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +46.7%
Dafabet
↑ +45.2%
Marathonbet
↑ +42.6%
1xBet
↑ +42.5%
BetVictor
↑ +21.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.4%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +34/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -5
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books lengthened Ituzaingó together (15.4% drift, score 66) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Villa Dalmine vs Liniers Primera B Metropolitana · Sat 18:00 | Villa Dalmine | 1.75 |
1.75
kickoff in 2h 8m |
+0.0%
— Stable line 1.90 → 1.67 → 1.75 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
6/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -1.1%
Marathonbet
↓ -1.1%
Bet365 Sharp
+0.0%
Dafabet
+0.0%
Pinnacle Sharp
+0.0%
William Hill
+0.0%
|
Steam Score:
20
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Villa Dalmine (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 12.9% — price repriced then reverted. |
