Market Movement - Brazil - Serie B
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Athletic Club vs Sport Recife (25.0%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club vs Sport Recife Serie B · Thu 23:30 | Sport Recife | 2.8 |
3.5
kickoff in 59m |
↑ +25.0%
2.8
3.5
🐢 Slow drift over 77h 53m 3.65 → 2.52 → 3.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +32.7%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +27.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
BetVictor
↑ +23.3%
1xBet
↑ +16.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +15.4%
Betano
↑ +15.2%
William Hill
↑ +14.5%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Sport Recife together (25.0% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |