Today's Summary
3
Significant Movements
Avg Move
17.8%
Market Movement - Venezuela - Primera División
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 17.8% move).
- Strongest steam: Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano (23.5%, 9 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 67% shortening · 33% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +25.0%
- 2 ↓ -23.5%
- 3 ↓ -5.0%
Biggest Steam
-
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5% Steam 92
-
2
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0% Steam 71
-
3
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0% Steam 49
Highest Breadth
-
1
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0% 8/9
-
2
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0% 8/9
-
3
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5% 7/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0%
-
2
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0%
-
3
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0%
-
2
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5%
-
3
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0%
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV Primera División · Sat 22:00 | UCV | 5.0 |
4.75
kickoff in 5h 34m |
↓ -5.0%
5.0
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 101h 53m 5.13 → 3.85 → 4.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -18.9%
Dafabet
↓ -18.8%
Betano
↓ -18.1%
BetVictor
↓ -18.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -15.8%
William Hill
↓ -8.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -6.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -5.0%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on UCV (5.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Portuguesa FC vs Real Esppor Club Primera División · Sat 21:00 | Portuguesa FC | 2.4 |
3.0
kickoff in 4h 34m |
↑ +25.0%
2.4
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 101h 53m 3.15 → 2.38 → 3.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +27.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.9%
Betano
↑ +23.5%
Dafabet
↑ +23.5%
BetVictor
↑ +22.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.8%
William Hill
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Portuguesa FC together (25.0% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano Primera División · Sat 23:30 | Rayo Zuliano | 8.5 |
6.5
kickoff in 7h 4m |
↓ -23.5%
8.5
6.5
🐢 Slow drift over 105h 47m 10.00 → 6.50 → 6.50 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -30.0%
Betano
↓ -29.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -23.5%
BetVictor
↓ -21.1%
1xBet
↓ -18.7%
Dafabet
↓ -18.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -18.2%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Rayo Zuliano (23.5% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
