Today's Summary
2
Significant Movements
Avg Move
6.8%
Market Movement - Colombia - Primera A
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 6.8% move).
- Strongest steam: Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali (5.0%, 10 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior vs La Equidad Primera A · Sat 23:10 | La Equidad | 5.75 |
5.25
kickoff in 5h 45m |
↓ -8.7%
5.75
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 112h 7m 5.75 → 4.28 → 5.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
1/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -8.7%
|
Steam Score:
25
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +19/45
Book synchronization: +3/30
Books reacting: +2/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on La Equidad (8.7%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali Primera A · Sat 20:30 | Deportivo Pereira | 5.0 |
5.25
kickoff in 3h 5m |
↑ +5.0%
5.0
5.25
🐢 Slow drift over 81h 54m 5.25 → 4.16 → 5.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/10
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +16.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +11.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.0%
William Hill
↑ +4.8%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.3%
SBO Sharp
↑ +2.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +2.1%
|
Steam Score:
43
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +21/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Deportivo Pereira (5.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
