Market Movement - Turkey - 1. Lig
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 2 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 13.9% move).
- Strongest steam: Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K. (21.9%, 10 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 50% shortening · 50% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
1. Lig (Turkey) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 58.5 while bookmaker consensus averaged 65% breadth, with 2 steam-backed repricing events.
Over the past 30 days, Turkey - 1. Lig has produced moderate steam activity with an average Steam Score of 58.5. Typical line moves averaged 13.9% and the largest swing reached 21.9%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented 50.0% of tracked signals; favourites drew 0.0% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(2) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor vs Manisa BBSK 1. Lig · Sat 16:00 | Manisa BBSK | 8.0 |
6.25
since pub · 76h 35m |
↓ -21.9%
8.0
6.25
🐢 Slow drift over 76h 35m 8.00 → 5.42 → 6.25 |
⚡ Sharp-led move | Bet365 |
4/10
Books moving same direction
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -21.9%
BetVictor
↓ -7.1%
1xBet
↓ -3.3%
Dafabet
↓ -3.0%
|
Steam Score:
66
A
Strong sharp signal
Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +12/30
Books reacting: +8/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Bet365 led repricing on Manisa BBSK (21.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| İstanbulspor vs Erokspor 1. Lig · Sat 16:00 | İstanbulspor | 3.4 |
3.6
since pub · 80h 29m |
↑ +5.9%
3.4
3.6
🐢 Slow drift over 80h 29m 3.91 → 2.97 → 3.60 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
9/10
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +12.3%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +12.0%
SBO Sharp
↑ +11.8%
William Hill
↑ +10.3%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +7.7%
Dafabet
↑ +7.4%
BetVictor
↑ +7.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +5.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.6%
|
Steam Score:
51
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +13/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Highest consensus move | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Pinnacle led repricing on İstanbulspor (5.9%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |