Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
1.4%
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Low liquidity · Low consensus · Weak CLV history
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot Wilrijk vs Liège Challenger Pro League · Sat 18:00 | Beerschot Wilrijk | 1.44 |
1.42
kickoff in 42m |
↓ -1.4%
1.44
1.42
— Stable line 1.48 → 1.36 → 1.42 |
ℹ️ Low-intensity market activity |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
2/10
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -4.1%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -2.9%
|
Steam Score:
3
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +3/45
Book synchronization: +6/30
Books reacting: +4/10
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Net move flat on Beerschot Wilrijk (1.4%), but intraday swing reached 1.4% — price repriced then reverted. |
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