Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
14.6%
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo vs Cremonese Serie B · Sat 17:30 | Arezzo | 2.88 |
3.3
kickoff in 18m |
↑ +14.6%
2.88
3.3
🐢 Slow drift over 132h 17m 3.58 → 2.66 → 3.30 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +25.0%
SBO Sharp
↑ +18.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +17.8%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +14.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.0%
1xBet
↑ +12.6%
BetVictor
↑ +11.1%
Dafabet
↑ +10.0%
Betano
↑ +8.3%
William Hill
↑ +6.9%
|
Steam Score:
50
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +32/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Arezzo (14.6%, 10/10) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |
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