Today's Summary
3
Significant Movements
Avg Move
8.4%
Market Movement - Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 8.4% move).
- Strongest steam: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. (16.7%, 10 books).
- 2 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 2 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +16.7%
- 2 ↑ +4.5%
- 3 ↑ +3.9%
Biggest Steam
-
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. ↑ +16.7% Steam 61
-
2
Tigre vs Banfield ↑ +4.5% Steam 39
-
3
Barracas Central vs Huracan ↑ +3.9% Steam 30
Highest Breadth
-
1
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. ↑ +16.7% 10/10
-
2
Tigre vs Banfield ↑ +4.5% 6/10
-
3
Barracas Central vs Huracan ↑ +3.9% 5/10
Most Books Agree
-
1
Tigre vs Banfield ↑ +4.5%
- 2
-
3
Barracas Central vs Huracan ↑ +3.9%
Fastest Odds Change
- 1
-
2
Tigre vs Banfield ↑ +4.5%
-
3
Barracas Central vs Huracan ↑ +3.9%
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre vs Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat 22:15 | Banfield | 5.5 |
5.75
kickoff in 6h 9m |
↑ +4.5%
5.5
5.75
🐢 Slow drift over 131h 17m 6.10 → 4.43 → 5.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +14.0%
Betano
↑ +10.9%
1xBet
↑ +5.1%
Marathonbet
↑ +5.1%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +4.5%
SBO Sharp
↑ +3.2%
|
Steam Score:
39
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +10/45
Book synchronization: +18/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on Banfield (4.5%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
| Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat 20:00 | Estudiantes L.P. | 2.1 |
2.45
kickoff in 3h 54m |
↑ +16.7%
2.1
2.45
🐢 Slow drift over 131h 17m 2.58 → 2.10 → 2.45 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
10/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +17.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +16.7%
1xBet
↑ +13.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +13.7%
Betano
↑ +13.3%
BetVictor
↑ +11.6%
William Hill
↑ +11.6%
Dafabet
↑ +8.4%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +7.8%
SBO Sharp
↑ +6.5%
|
Steam Score:
61
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +37/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -20
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 10/10 books lengthened Estudiantes L.P. together (16.7% drift, score 61) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Barracas Central vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat 18:45 | Huracan | 2.55 |
2.65
kickoff in 2h 39m |
↑ +3.9%
2.55
2.65
🐢 Slow drift over 131h 17m 2.88 → 2.55 → 2.65 |
⚠️ Volatile market |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
5/10
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +8.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +3.9%
Marathonbet
↑ +3.5%
William Hill
↑ +3.1%
1xBet
↑ +3.0%
|
Steam Score:
30
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +9/45
Book synchronization: +15/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Volatile | Waiting for Close | Volatile two-way pricing on Huracan (swing 2.88 → 2.55 → 2.65) — net 3.9% but intraday chop is elevated. |
