Today's Summary
1
Significant Movements
Avg Move
15.8%
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal vs ADT Copa De La Liga · Thu 20:00 | ADT | 4.75 |
5.5
since pub · 20h |
↑ +15.8%
4.75
5.5
🐢 Slow drift over 20h 8.25 → 4.75 → 5.50 |
📉 Strong drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Pinnacle |
8/8
Books moving same direction
Betano
↑ +37.5%
Pinnacle Sharp
↑ +20.6%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +20.0%
BetVictor
↑ +18.2%
William Hill
↑ +18.2%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +15.8%
1xBet
↑ +14.6%
Marathonbet
↑ +12.0%
|
Steam Score:
79
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Broad multi-book drift — odds lengthened across sportsbooks (market fade). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 22% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +35/45
Book synchronization: +30/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/8 books lengthened ADT together (15.8% drift, score 79) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
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