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Market Movement - Belarus - Premier League

Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.

Last updated: Live Next refresh: Time window: today Total fixtures: 3

Today's Summary

3 Significant Movements
Avg Move 7.6%

Today's Market Analysis

  • 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 7.6% move).
  • Strongest steam: Naftan vs Belshina (12.3%, 5 books).
  • 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
  • 1 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.

Today's Market Health

★★★★ ☆
Healthy market

Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data

Market Metrics

  • Steam Activity 1 moves > threshold
    Low
  • Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing events
    Low
  • Market Trend 100% shortening · 0% lengthening
    Low
  • CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV data
    Active

Biggest Steam

  1. Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3% Steam 65
  2. 2
    Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr ↓ -3.5% Steam 28
  3. 3
    FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino ↓ -7.0% Steam 15

Highest Breadth

  1. 1
    Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3% 4/5
  2. 2
  3. 3

Most CLV Edge

  1. 1

Most Books Agree

  1. 1
    Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3%
  2. 2
  3. 3

Fastest Odds Change

  1. 1
    Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3%
  2. 2
  3. 3
Each row tracks the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move. CLV compares that side's opening line to the captured closing line; Replay ROI is a flat 1-unit backtest on that side only — for market-behavior review, not strategy performance.

Market Reality Check

Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.

Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.

1
Matches reviewed
100.0%
Largest move held to close
100.0%
Tracked side won
100.0%
Held & won
+186.0%
Replay ROI
This scope All markets today: 54 matches · 38.9% held · Replay ROI +2.5%

In this sample, largest moves held to close more often and replay ROI was positive — but the sample is limited; context only, not a strategy signal.

Historical pattern performance

Steam Score 85+
— samples
Held to close: 71%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
A+ Sharp repricing
— samples
Held to close: 64%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Sharp-led moves
— samples
Held to close: 57%
Won: —%
Replay ROI: —
Market move replay
Match(3) Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Opening Closing CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Held to close Outcome Score Market depth
Naftan vs Belshina Premier League · Sat 12:00 Naftan 2.85 2.5 +14.0% ✓ Held W 4-1
Steam Score 65 A
Market Breadth 4/5
Sharp-led move Pinnacle
P20: 2.50 · P10: 2.50 · P5: 2.50 · P1: 2.50
FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Premier League · Sat 10:00 Torpedo Zhodino 2.86 — — ? No close data W 0-1
Steam Score 15 C
Market Breadth 1/4
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Premier League · Sat 14:00 Bate Borisov 2.87 — — ? No close data W 2-1
Steam Score 28 C
Market Breadth 1/4
Sharp-led move Pinnacle