Market Movement - Belarus - Premier League
Finished matches: the 1X2 side with the largest opening→closing odds move.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 7.6% move).
- Strongest steam: Naftan vs Belshina (12.3%, 5 books).
- 1 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- 1 finished matches already carry closing-line validation.
Today's Market Health
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 1 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 100% shortening · 0% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
Top Movers
- 1 ↓ -12.3%
- 2 ↓ -7.0%
- 3 ↓ -3.5%
Biggest Steam
-
Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3% Steam 65
-
2
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr ↓ -3.5% Steam 28
-
3
FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino ↓ -7.0% Steam 15
Highest Breadth
-
1
Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3% 4/5
-
2
FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino ↓ -7.0% 1/4
-
3
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr ↓ -3.5% 1/4
Most CLV Edge
-
1
Naftan vs Belshina +14.0%
Most Books Agree
-
1
Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3%
-
2
FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino ↓ -7.0%
-
3
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr ↓ -3.5%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Naftan vs Belshina ↓ -12.3%
-
2
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr ↓ -3.5%
-
3
FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino ↓ -7.0%
Market Reality Check
Does the largest opening→closing move survive to the close? Flat 1-unit replay — market behavior review, not a betting strategy.
Basic match replay is free. Steam breakdown, book consensus, and historical similar-move stats require login.
In this sample, largest moves held to close more often and replay ROI was positive — but the sample is limited; context only, not a strategy signal.
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Historical pattern performance
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| Match(3) | Largest-move side? Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. Home, draw, or away with the biggest opening→closing odds change — a descriptive label, not a bet signal. | Opening | Closing | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | Held to close | Outcome | Score | Market depth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftan vs Belshina Premier League · Sat 12:00 | Naftan | 2.85 | 2.5 | +14.0% | ✓ Held | W | 4-1 |
Steam Score
65
A
Market Breadth
4/5
Sharp-led move
Pinnacle
P20: 2.50 · P10: 2.50 · P5: 2.50 · P1: 2.50
|
| FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Premier League · Sat 10:00 | Torpedo Zhodino | 2.86 | — | — | ? No close data | W | 0-1 |
Steam Score
15
C
Market Breadth
1/4
|
| Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Premier League · Sat 14:00 | Bate Borisov | 2.87 | — | — | ? No close data | W | 2-1 |
Steam Score
28
C
Market Breadth
1/4
Sharp-led move
Pinnacle
|