Market Movement - Wales - Premier League
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay (12.5%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history · Volatile repricing
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 1 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
League Intelligence (30 days)
Premier League (Wales) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 40.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 67% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Wales - Premier League has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 40.0. Typical line moves averaged 12.5% and the largest swing reached 12.5%. Insufficient settled fixtures for a reliable 30-day CLV read. Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay Premier League · Sat 16:15 | Flint Town United | 4.0 |
4.5
since pub · 99h 30m |
↑ +12.5%
4.0
4.5
🐢 Slow drift over 99h 30m 5.23 → 3.95 → 4.50 |
↘ Drift |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
6/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↑ +19.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +16.0%
1xBet
↑ +15.9%
Dafabet
↑ +15.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +12.5%
Betano
↑ +10.1%
|
Steam Score:
40
B
Moderate sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +28/45
Book synchronization: +20/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +8/8
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | Multi-book drift on Flint Town United (12.5%, 6/9) — aligned lengthening, market pricing moves against this side. |