Market Movement - Poland - Ekstraklasa
Near kickoff: publish line vs. current sharp price — pseudo-CLV and whether the market followed or faded your signal.
Today's Market Analysis
- Only 1 fixture generated significant repricing — steam centred on Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin (3.0%).
Today's Market Health
Low liquidity · Low consensus · Reliable closing data
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 0 moves > thresholdLow
-
Bookmaker Consensus 0 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 0% shortening · 100% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 1 fixtures with CLV dataActive
League Intelligence (30 days)
Ekstraklasa (Poland) markets are monitored for opening odds, steam repricing, and closing-line movement across major sportsbooks. Domestic league fixtures typically offer steadier liquidity and more predictable closing lines than cup ties. When sufficient pricing data is available, OddsGPT tracks breadth, steam score, and CLV validation for each fixture.Over the last 30 days, average steam score reached 18.0 while bookmaker consensus averaged 30% breadth.
Over the past 30 days, Poland - Ekstraklasa has produced quiet repricing patterns with an average Steam Score of 18.0. Typical line moves averaged 3.0% and the largest swing reached 3.0%. Historical closing-line validation has remained balanced (0% positive). Home-side steam represented —% of tracked signals; favourites drew —% of steam-backed moves.
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| Match(1) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa · Sat 12:45 | Draw | 3.3 |
3.4
since pub · 103h 31m |
↑ +3.0%
3.3
3.4
🐢 Slow drift over 103h 31m 3.56 → 3.08 → 3.40 |
⚠️ Volatile market |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: SBO |
3/10
Books moving same direction
SBO Sharp
↑ +3.9%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +3.0%
Dafabet
↑ +2.9%
|
Steam Score:
18
C
Limited conviction
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +7/45
Book synchronization: +9/30
Books reacting: +6/10
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest closing-window shift | Volatile | P20: 3.23 · P10: 3.23 · P5: 3.23 · P1: 3.23 | Volatile two-way pricing on Draw (swing 3.56 → 3.08 → 3.40) — net 3.0% but intraday chop is elevated. |