Today's Summary
3
Significant Movements
Avg Move
17.8%
Market Movement - Venezuela - Primera División
Track real-time closing odds movement across major football sportsbooks. Compare opening lines, current market prices, steam moves, and sharp betting activity to identify potential Closing Line Value (CLV) opportunities.
Today's Market Analysis
- 3 fixtures saw meaningful repricing today (avg 17.8% move).
- Strongest steam: Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano (23.5%, 9 books).
- 3 fixtures showed broad consensus.
- No closing-line validation is yet available for today's open fixtures.
Today's Market Health
★★★
☆☆
Mixed signals
Moderate liquidity · Strong consensus · Weak CLV history
Market Metrics
-
Steam Activity 2 moves > thresholdModerate
-
Bookmaker Consensus 3 broad repricing eventsLow
-
Market Trend 67% shortening · 33% lengtheningLow
-
CLV Context 0 fixtures with CLV dataPending
Top Movers
- 1 ↑ +25.0%
- 2 ↓ -23.5%
- 3 ↓ -5.0%
Biggest Steam
-
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5% Steam 92
-
2
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0% Steam 71
-
3
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0% Steam 49
Highest Breadth
-
1
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0% 8/9
-
2
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0% 8/9
-
3
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5% 7/9
Most Books Agree
-
1
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5%
-
2
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0%
-
3
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0%
Fastest Odds Change
-
1
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira ↑ +25.0%
-
2
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5%
-
3
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV ↓ -5.0%
📊 Top Edge Today
Largest fair-vs-market gaps before kickoff — AI value side vs where money is flowing.
| Match | AI Edge | Market Move | Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano | Metropolitanos FC | Rayo Zuliano ↓ -23.5% | -29.0 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | UCV ↓ -5.0% | -15.3 pp | Strong Market Ahead |
| Portuguesa FC vs Real Esppor Club | Real Esppor Club | Portuguesa FC ↑ +25.0% | -0.3 pp | Market Efficient |
🔥 Top market moves
The biggest market moves and sportsbook repricing detected in this window.
| Match | Side | Move | Signal | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano | Rayo Zuliano | ↓ -23.5% | 🔥 Strong steam | 7/9 | Steam Score: 92 A+ |
| Portuguesa FC vs Real Esppor Club | Portuguesa FC | ↑ +25.0% | 📉 Strong drift | 8/9 | Steam Score: 71 A |
| Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV | UCV | ↓ -5.0% | ⚡ Sharp-led move | 8/9 | Steam Score: 49 B |
Filters apply to the match list below — highlights above stay unchanged.
Signal
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| Match(3) | Side | Open | Current | Move | Signal | Ref book | Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. | Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. | Context | Market state | CLV Validation? Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. Opening vs closing on the largest-move side — descriptive only, not strategy performance. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano Primera División · Sat 23:30 | Rayo Zuliano | 8.5 |
6.5
kickoff in 7h 50m |
↓ -23.5%
8.5
6.5
🐢 Slow drift over 105h 47m 10.00 → 6.50 → 6.50 |
🔥 Strong steam |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
7/9
Books moving same direction
Betfair Sharp
↓ -30.0%
Betano
↓ -29.7%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -23.5%
BetVictor
↓ -21.1%
1xBet
↓ -18.7%
Dafabet
↓ -18.6%
Marathonbet
↓ -18.2%
|
Steam Score:
92
A+
Strong multi-book steam
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityHigh confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +23/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +18/18
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest underdog steam | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | 7/9 books synchronized on Rayo Zuliano (23.5% steam, score 92) — high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks. |
| Portuguesa FC vs Real Esppor Club Primera División · Sat 21:00 | Portuguesa FC | 2.4 |
3.0
kickoff in 5h 20m |
↑ +25.0%
2.4
3.0
🐢 Slow drift over 101h 53m 3.15 → 2.38 → 3.00 |
📉 Strong drift | Bet365 |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↑ +27.3%
Bet365 Sharp
↑ +25.0%
Marathonbet
↑ +23.9%
Betano
↑ +23.5%
Dafabet
↑ +23.5%
BetVictor
↑ +22.4%
Betfair Sharp
↑ +21.8%
William Hill
↑ +3.3%
|
Steam Score:
71
A
Strong sharp signal
Noticeable drift — odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam). Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +45/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +14/14
Slow Drift Duration: -15
Volatility adjustment: -10
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Largest move today | Market drift | Waiting for Close | 8/9 books lengthened Portuguesa FC together (25.0% drift, score 71) — broad market fade, not a single-book blip. |
| Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV Primera División · Sat 22:00 | UCV | 5.0 |
4.75
kickoff in 6h 20m |
↓ -5.0%
5.0
4.75
🐢 Slow drift over 101h 53m 5.13 → 3.85 → 4.75 |
⚡ Sharp-led move |
Bet365
Sharp-led move: Betfair |
8/9
Books moving same direction
1xBet
↓ -18.9%
Dafabet
↓ -18.8%
Betano
↓ -18.1%
BetVictor
↓ -18.0%
Betfair Sharp
↓ -15.8%
William Hill
↓ -8.7%
Marathonbet
↓ -6.0%
Bet365 Sharp
↓ -5.0%
|
Steam Score:
49
B
Moderate sharp signal
A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation. Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 57% beat the closing line
60-70 = 64% beat the closing line
70+ = 71% beat the closing line
Key drivers
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Move magnitude: +11/45
Book synchronization: +27/30
Books reacting: +10/10
Signal conviction: +5/5
Sharp-book leadership: +6/6
Volatility adjustment: -10
Login to see the full betting verdict Sign in free to unlock the Final betting verdict — which markets pass, where +EV may exist, and steam warnings. |
— | Sharp repricing | Waiting for Close | Betfair led repricing on UCV (5.0%) — sharp book moved before wider follow-through. |
