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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic ✔ Correct
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "f4b8e099d82d786a257c4d4ba8f448ccdbb8aef749651ee3ca572c82c568b851",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.38,
"away_win_prob": 0.3897,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2954,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.57,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.39,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 3.18,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.22,
"home_win_prob": 0.3148,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies"
},
"away_xg": 1.38,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Hartford Athletic",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2389,
"edge_gap": 0.0747,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.1507,
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 39.0,
"draw": 29.5,
"home": 31.5
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 6.27
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 6.27,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Hartford Athletic Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 6.63,
"market_odds": 6.27,
"model_odds": 2.57,
"overround": 5.8,
"prob_edge": 23.0,
"value_pct": 144.0,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 10,
"away_score_rate": 74.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 7,
"home_failed_to_score": 0,
"home_played": 12,
"home_score_rate": 70.5,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.38,
"home_expected": 1.22,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies or Draw",
"prob": 61.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies or Hartford Athletic",
"prob": 70.5
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Hartford Athletic",
"prob": 68.5
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies or Hartford Athletic",
"pick_prob": 70.5
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 39.0,
"draw_pct": 29.5,
"home_pct": 31.5,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Hartford Athletic"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.9,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 144.5,
"implied_prob": 15.9,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Hartford Athletic Win",
"model_prob": 39.0,
"odds": 6.27
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Hartford Athletic",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 63.0,
"gap_pp": -31.51,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 31.49
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 21.93,
"gap_pp": 7.61,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.54
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 15.07,
"gap_pp": 23.89,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 38.97
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.65,
"gap_pp": -2.45,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 49.35,
"gap_pp": 2.45,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.5,
"early": 1.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 63.0,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 63.0,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.31,
"early": 4.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 21.93,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 21.93,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 6.27,
"early": 6.27,
"implied_closing_pct": 15.07,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 15.07,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.89,
"early": 1.89,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.65,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 50.65,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.94,
"early": 1.94,
"implied_closing_pct": 49.35,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 49.35,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 23.9,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.22,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1373,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 13.7,
"text": "+13.7%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.1507,
"max_ev": 0.1373,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 13.7,
"text": "+13.7%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"side_label": "Hartford Athletic",
"sort_key": 10273.57,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1336,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.4,
"text": "-13.4%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.088,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.8,
"text": "+8.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.088,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10079.2,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.089,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.9,
"text": "-8.9%"
},
"ev_under": 0.0101,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 1.0,
"text": "+1.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0101,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 5208.08,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "3/12",
"alert_breadth_note": "3/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -2.0%",
"alert_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 31.5,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -31.52,
"hero_label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"market_prob_pct": 15.1,
"market_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"model_prob_pct": 39.0,
"model_team": "Hartford Athletic",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2717",
"status_key": "disagrees",
"status_label": "Model breakdown risk",
"status_line": "Market disagrees with model",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -31.52,
"fair_prob": 31.48,
"label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"market_prob": 63.0,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.61,
"fair_prob": 29.54,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 21.93,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 23.9,
"fair_prob": 38.97,
"label": "Hartford Athletic",
"market_prob": 15.07,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.83,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 51.03,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.83,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 48.97,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.65,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 47.75,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.65,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 52.25,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -31.52,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.48,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"market_prob_pct": 63.0,
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"steam_team_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "breakdown",
"edge_status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"max_gap_pp": 31.52,
"suppress_hero": true,
"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"divergence_level": "breakdown",
"divergence_level_label": "Model breakdown risk",
"divergence_note": "The model and market differ by 31.5 percentage points. The model output may be unreliable for this matchup \u2014 validate inputs before interpreting probabilities.",
"divergence_tier": "breakdown",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Hartford Athletic",
"headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_prob_pct": 15.1,
"model_prob_pct": 39.0,
"paragraphs": [
"Model and market diverge materially. Treat model probabilities as unreliable until inputs are validated."
],
"reliability_headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"reliability_icon": "\u2717",
"reliability_tier": "breakdown",
"summary": "Do not interpret model vs market comparison until validation passes.",
"tier": "breakdown",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Fail"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -31.52,
"hero_label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Tampa Bay Rowdies odds shortened \u2193 -2.0%.",
"market_agreement": "very_weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 31.52,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_fail",
"status": "fail"
},
"model_validation_label": "Fail",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 7.5 pp (at 39.0%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 7.5,
"max_prob_pct": 39.0,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -31.52,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.48,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"market_prob_pct": 63.0,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.61,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.54,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 21.93,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 23.9,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.97,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Hartford Athletic",
"market_prob_pct": 15.07,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"status_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Tampa Bay Rowdies (15.1%).",
"Tampa Bay Rowdies has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -2.0%, 3/12).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Hartford Athletic, Market \u2192 Tampa Bay Rowdies, Recent sharp money \u2192 Tampa Bay Rowdies.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 66.67,
"closing_odds": 1.5,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 66.67,
"entry_odds": 1.5,
"model_validation_label": "Fail",
"model_validation_status": "fail",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "lost"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 3,
"books_total": 12,
"breadth_display": "3/12",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 1.45,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2193 -2.0%",
"move_pct_abs": 2.0,
"move_speed_icon": "\u2014",
"move_speed_label": "Stable line",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Tampa Bay Rowdies (swing 1.56 \u2192 1.36 \u2192 1.45) \u2014 net 2.0% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "1.56 \u2192 1.36 \u2192 1.45",
"move_speed_icon": "\u2014",
"move_speed_label": "Stable line",
"pick_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "1.56"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "1.36"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "1.45"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,7.2 28.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "flat",
"sparkline_trend_label": "Stable"
},
"open_odds": 1.48,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Betfair",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "3/12",
"current_odds": 1.45,
"move_display": "\u2193 -2.0%",
"open_odds": 1.48,
"pick_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_team_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 31.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3995,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3995.webp",
"away_team_name": "Hartford Athletic",
"country_code": "US",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/us.svg",
"country_name": "USA",
"fixture_id": 1493542,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "USA",
"home_team_id": 4021,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4021.webp",
"home_team_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"league_country": "USA",
"league_id": 255,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/255.webp",
"league_name": "USL Championship",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 23:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Al Lang Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1283,
"best_odd": 6.27,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0307,
"ev": 0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.1507,
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"p_final": 0.1814
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1772,
"best_odd": 4.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": 0.0032,
"implied_prob": 0.2193,
"model_prob": 0.2954,
"p_final": 0.2328
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3164,
"best_odd": 1.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0997,
"ev": -0.2045,
"implied_prob": 0.63,
"model_prob": 0.3149,
"p_final": 0.5303
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.9,
"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"edge_no": -0.0665,
"edge_yes": 0.0665,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1336,
"ev_yes": 0.088,
"implied_no": 0.5225,
"implied_yes": 0.4775,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.89,
"best_under_odd": 1.95,
"edge_over": -0.0283,
"edge_under": 0.0283,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.089,
"ev_under": 0.0101,
"implied_over": 0.5103,
"implied_under": 0.4897,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.4775,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "alternative",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "alternative"
},
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1373,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2954,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3897,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.16
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0307,
"ev": 0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.1507,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Hartford Athletic"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0665,
"ev": 0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.4775,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0283,
"ev": 0.0101,
"implied_prob": 0.4897,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1493542,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1373,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3897,
"draw": 0.2954,
"home": 0.3149
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.4775,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.4775,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Hartford Athletic",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rowdies"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.058856,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.1507,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Hartford Athletic",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1493542,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T23:29:07.337034+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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