SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.8449,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.1162,
      "fair_odds_away": 1.18,
      "fair_odds_draw": 8.61,
      "fair_odds_home": 25.68,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.58,
      "home_win_prob": 0.0389,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "Shakhtar Donetsk"
    },
    "away_xg": 2.98,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Shakhtar Donetsk",
      "confidence": 84.5,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : Shakhtar Donetsk",
        "edge": 0.1003,
        "edge_gap": 0.7295,
        "market": "1X2",
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        "model_prob": 0.8453,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 84.5,
          "draw": 11.6,
          "home": 3.9
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        "selection": "away",
        "selection_name": "Shakhtar Donetsk"
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.23
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      "risk_color": "#4caf50",
      "risk_key": "low_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.23,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
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        "display_market": "Shakhtar Donetsk Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.34,
        "market_odds": 1.23,
        "model_odds": 1.18,
        "overround": 9.1,
        "prob_edge": 3.4,
        "value_pct": 4.2,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 16,
        "away_failed_to_score": 2,
        "away_played": 26,
        "away_score_rate": 94.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 1,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 26,
        "home_score_rate": 44.0,
        "no_prob": 57.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 57.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 42.4
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 0.58,
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            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 12.6
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 0,
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            "away": 4,
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            "label": "0-4",
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            "away": 1,
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            "away": 2,
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        ],
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      "double_chance": {
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            "label": "SK Poltava or Draw",
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          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "SK Poltava or Shakhtar Donetsk",
            "prob": 88.4
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
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            "prob": 96.1
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk",
        "pick_prob": 96.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 84.5,
        "draw_pct": 11.6,
        "home_pct": 3.9,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Shakhtar Donetsk"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 3.56,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 69.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "under_prob": 31.0
      },
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        "edge": 4.2,
        "implied_prob": 81.3,
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        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Shakhtar Donetsk Win",
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        "odds": 1.23
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-2",
        "prob": 12.6
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    },
    "home_xg": 0.58,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": 0.426,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "tier": "best",
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        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 42.4
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 550,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/550.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Shakhtar Donetsk",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ua.svg",
      "country_name": "Ukraine",
      "fixture_id": 1396810,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 17165,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/17165.webp",
      "home_team_name": "SK Poltava",
      "league_country": "Ukraine",
      "league_id": 333,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/333.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
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        "score": 9.0
      },
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      "variance_flag": false
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          "xg_diff": 2.4
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      "longshot_picks": [
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          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
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          "side": "under",
          "slot": "longshot"
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        },
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.8453,
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        "home": 0.0388
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      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Shakhtar Donetsk",
        "home": "SK Poltava"
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T14:58:15.549103+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
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