Early market tracking
Price discovery after publication — how opening markets react before the closing capture window.
Today: Early tracking → Closing window → CLV & results
| Partido | Pick | Apertura | Actual | Mov. | Señal | EV pub. | EV act. | Phase | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven vs Twente Eredivisie · Sun 12:30 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.67 |
2.16
kickoff in 10h 20m |
↑ +29.3% | ↔ Contrarian hold | +18.0% | +18.1% | Discovery | Market is moving against PSV Eindhoven, but model edge vs. the current line remains — disagreement persists. |
| AS Roma vs Lazio Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Draw | 3.5 |
4.43
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↑ +26.6% | ↔ Contrarian hold | +36.1% | +40.0% | Discovery | Market is moving against Draw, but model edge vs. the current line remains — disagreement persists. |
| Udinese vs Cremonese Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Udinese | 2.2 |
2.45
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↑ +11.4% | ↔ Contrarian hold | +25.4% | +35.5% | Discovery | Market is moving against Udinese, but model edge vs. the current line remains — disagreement persists. |
| Osasuna vs Espanyol La Liga · Sun 16:00 | Osasuna | 2.01 |
2.17
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↑ +8.0% | ↔ Contrarian hold | +16.2% | +25.5% | Discovery | Market is moving against Osasuna, but model edge vs. the current line remains — disagreement persists. |
| Atalanta vs Bologna Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Atalanta | 1.6 |
1.68
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↑ +5.0% | 📉 Debilitándose | -5.2% | -3.5% | Discovery | Market is fading Atalanta; implied probability is moving away from our pick. |
| Heerenveen vs Ajax Eredivisie · Sun 12:30 | Heerenveen | 2.9 |
3.0
kickoff in 10h 20m |
↑ +3.4% | ↔ Contrarian hold | +41.3% | +30.4% | Discovery | Market is moving against Heerenveen, but model edge vs. the current line remains — disagreement persists. |
| Atletico Madrid vs Girona La Liga · Sun 16:00 | Girona | 6.05 |
4.52
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↓ -25.3% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | +61.8% | +20.8% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on Girona has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| Krylia Sovetov vs Akron Premier League · Sun 15:00 | Akron | 3.32 |
2.86
kickoff in 12h 50m |
↓ -13.9% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | +44.3% | +24.4% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on Akron has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| Dinamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow Premier League · Sun 15:00 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 4.16 |
3.61
kickoff in 12h 50m |
↓ -13.2% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | +34.2% | +16.3% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on Dinamo Makhachkala has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| Athletic Club vs Celta Vigo La Liga · Sun 16:00 | Celta Vigo | 4.2 |
3.7
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↓ -11.9% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | +36.2% | +10.7% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on Celta Vigo has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| Juventus vs Fiorentina Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Juventus | 1.44 |
1.33
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↓ -7.6% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | -8.9% | -15.9% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on Juventus has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| Castellón vs Cadiz Segunda División · Sun 16:00 | Castellón | 1.36 |
1.28
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↓ -5.9% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | -16.6% | -21.6% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on Castellón has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Eredivisie · Sun 12:30 | AZ Alkmaar | 1.4 |
1.36
kickoff in 10h 20m |
↓ -2.9% | ↗ Movimiento temprano | -7.9% | -10.3% | Early repricing | Early drift: price on AZ Alkmaar has shortened since we published (feed snapshot). |
| Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi Süper Lig · Sun 17:00 | Trabzonspor | 1.75 |
3.25
kickoff in 14h 50m |
↑ +85.7% | ⚠️ Inestable | +8.0% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Heracles vs Groningen Eredivisie · Sun 12:30 | Heracles | 3.9 |
5.25
kickoff in 10h 20m |
↑ +34.6% | ⚠️ Inestable | +41.2% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Almeria vs Las Palmas Segunda División · Sun 16:00 | Las Palmas | 3.58 |
4.33
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↑ +20.9% | ⚠️ Inestable | +51.7% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Leeds vs Brighton Premier League · Sun 14:00 | Leeds | 3.0 |
3.42
kickoff in 11h 50m |
↑ +14.0% | ⚠️ Inestable | +54.0% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Genoa vs AC Milan Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Genoa | 4.33 |
4.75
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↑ +9.7% | ⚠️ Inestable | +48.7% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor Süper Lig · Sun 17:00 | Draw | 3.99 |
4.33
kickoff in 14h 50m |
↑ +8.5% | ⚠️ Inestable | +34.8% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Pisa vs Napoli Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Draw | 4.96 |
5.28
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↑ +6.5% | ⚠️ Inestable | +47.6% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Sassuolo vs Lecce Serie A · Sun 13:00 | Sassuolo | 2.62 |
2.75
kickoff in 10h 50m |
↑ +5.0% | ⚠️ Inestable | +46.6% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Oviedo vs Alaves La Liga · Sun 16:00 | Oviedo | 3.9 |
4.0
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↑ +2.6% | ⚠️ Inestable | +59.2% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Nürnberg 2. Bundesliga · Sun 13:30 | Draw | 5.06 |
5.05
kickoff in 11h 20m |
↓ -0.2% | ⚠️ Inestable | +48.0% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest Premier League · Sun 14:00 | Nottingham Forest | 5.25 |
5.25
kickoff in 11h 50m |
+0.0% | ⚠️ Inestable | +48.7% | Unstable | Discovery | Price move is too large or from a weak book feed — treat current EV with caution. |
| Elche vs Getafe La Liga · Sun 16:00 | Elche | 2.35 |
2.31
kickoff in 13h 50m |
↓ -1.7% | — Seguimiento | +12.4% | +10.6% | Discovery | Closing capture has not started; line tracked via latest bookmaker feed vs. publish price. |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Başakşehir Süper Lig · Sun 17:00 | Gazişehir Gaziantep | 3.7 |
3.66
kickoff in 14h 50m |
↓ -1.1% | — Seguimiento | +38.1% | +36.5% | Discovery | Closing capture has not started; line tracked via latest bookmaker feed vs. publish price. |
