Evaluación de pronóstico
Pronóstico confiable
- Favorito
- Polessya Fuerte favorito
- Probabilidad del modelo
- 80.5%
- Acuerdo de mercado
- —
- Validación
- Pendiente
Resumen:
Polessya lidera direccionalmente tanto la red de modelos como los precios de mercado.
Inicia sesión para ver el veredicto completo de apuestas
Regístrate gratis para desbloquear el veredicto final de apuestas: qué mercados pasan, dónde puede existir +EV y advertencias de steam.
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Polessya Polessya ✔ Correct
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 2-0, 3-0, 2-1, 3-1, 4-0 2-0 ✔ Correct
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "9e772cb007afad805fd67d242cf3afb913f3f87cb62ba1d851f5b3c484125ebd",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.78,
"away_win_prob": 0.0614,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.479,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.521,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.134,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 16.29,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 7.47,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 1.24,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.96,
"home_win_prob": 0.8046,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.721,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.279
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Polessya or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Polessya"
},
"away_xg": 0.78,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Polessya",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.0166,
"edge_gap": 0.6714,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.8216,
"model_prob": 0.8051,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 6.1,
"draw": 13.4,
"home": 80.5
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 1.15
},
{
"affi_link": null,
"bookmaker_name": "888Sport",
"odd": 1.15
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.14
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"odd": 1.14
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 1.13
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 1.12
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 1.12
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 1.12
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.15,
"bookmaker_affi": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"display_market": "Polessya Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.22,
"market_odds": 1.12,
"model_odds": 1.24,
"overround": 8.5,
"prob_edge": -6.3,
"value_pct": -7.3,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 15,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 54.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 16,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 94.8,
"no_prob": 47.9,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 52.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 52.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.78,
"home_expected": 2.96,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-0",
"prob": 10.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 8.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 4,
"label": "4-0",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Polessya or Draw",
"prob": 93.9
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Polessya or Ruh Lviv",
"prob": 86.6
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Ruh Lviv",
"prob": 19.5
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Polessya or Draw",
"pick_prob": 93.9
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 6.1,
"draw_pct": 13.4,
"home_pct": 80.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Polessya"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.74,
"away_avg_scored": 0.7,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 72.1,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 72.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.74,
"under_prob": 27.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"edge": 28.1,
"implied_prob": 4.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Ruh Lviv Win",
"model_prob": 6.1,
"odds": 21.0
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 10.4
}
},
"home_xg": 2.96,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3054,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -30.5,
"text": "-30.5%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.4588,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 45.9,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.4588,
"no_prob": 47.9,
"sort_key": 10562.92,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 52.1
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1103,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 11.0,
"text": "+11.0%"
},
"ev_under": -0.2886,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -28.9,
"text": "-28.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1103,
"over_prob": 72.1,
"sort_key": 10099.27,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 27.9,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0912,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -9.1,
"text": "-9.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.8204,
"max_ev": -0.033,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -3.3,
"text": "-3.3%"
},
"model_prob": 0.8051,
"side_label": "Polessya",
"sort_key": 1791.75,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 10.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3632,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3632.webp",
"away_team_name": "Ruh Lviv",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ua.svg",
"country_name": "Ukraine",
"fixture_id": 1396823,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 6496,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6496.webp",
"home_team_name": "Polessya",
"league_country": "Ukraine",
"league_id": 333,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/333.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-29 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1961,
"best_odd": 19.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0025,
"ev": -0.033,
"implied_prob": 0.0484,
"model_prob": 0.0613,
"p_final": 0.0509
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1993,
"best_odd": 7.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0005,
"ev": -0.0779,
"implied_prob": 0.1313,
"model_prob": 0.1336,
"p_final": 0.1317
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5862,
"best_odd": 1.12,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.009,
"ev": -0.0912,
"implied_prob": 0.8204,
"model_prob": 0.8051,
"p_final": 0.8114
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.45,
"best_yes_odd": 2.8,
"edge_no": -0.1764,
"edge_yes": 0.1764,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3054,
"ev_yes": 0.4588,
"implied_no": 0.6554,
"implied_yes": 0.3446,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.54,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"edge_over": 0.1086,
"edge_under": -0.1086,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1103,
"ev_under": -0.2886,
"implied_over": 0.6124,
"implied_under": 0.3876,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.74,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4588,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.521,
"draw_prob": 0.1336,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.8051,
"over_prob": 0.721,
"total_xg": 3.74,
"under_prob": 0.279,
"xg_diff": 2.18
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.009,
"ev": -0.0912,
"implied_prob": 0.8204,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.8051,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Polessya"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1764,
"ev": 0.4588,
"implied_prob": 0.3446,
"model_prob": 0.521,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1086,
"ev": 0.1103,
"implied_prob": 0.6124,
"model_prob": 0.721,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1396823,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4588,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.0613,
"draw": 0.1336,
"home": 0.8051
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1103,
"implied_prob": 0.6124,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.721,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1103,
"implied_prob": 0.6124,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.721,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Ruh Lviv",
"home": "Polessya"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.239035,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4588,
"implied_prob": 0.3446,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.521,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1396823,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-28T00:25:40.484225+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Polessya & Ruh Lviv!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Premier League — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 72 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 60 |
| 3 | Polessya | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 57 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 51 |
| 6 | Kolos Kovalivka | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 49 |
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 |
| 8 | Zorya Luhansk | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 46 |
| 9 | Karpaty | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 41 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 11 | Veres Rivne | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31 |
| 12 | Obolon'-Brovar | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28 |
| 14 | Ruh Lviv | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 |
| 15 | Oleksandria | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 17 |
| 16 | SK Poltava | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 13 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 30 | 71 | 21 | +50 | 72 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 30 | 66 | 36 | +30 | 57 |
| 3 | Kryvbas KR | 30 | 53 | 46 | +7 | 48 |
| 4 | Polessya | 30 | 51 | 21 | +30 | 59 |
| 5 | Zorya Luhansk | 30 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 46 |
| 6 | Karpaty | 30 | 40 | 31 | +9 | 41 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 30 | 39 | 17 | +22 | 60 |
| 8 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 30 | 36 | 19 | +17 | 51 |
| 9 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 30 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Kudrivka | 30 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 28 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka | 30 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 49 |
| 12 | Obolon'-Brovar | 30 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 31 |
| 13 | Veres Rivne | 30 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Oleksandria | 30 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
| 15 | SK Poltava | 30 | 23 | 74 | -51 | 13 |
| 16 | Ruh Lviv | 30 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 21 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | xG | xGC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Kyiv | 30 | 30.7 | 10.1 | +20.6 | 57 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 30 | 29.8 | 9.8 | +20.0 | 72 |
| 3 | Polessya | 30 | 36.9 | 18.0 | +18.9 | 59 |
| 4 | LNZ Cherkasy | 30 | 28.4 | 12.4 | +16.0 | 60 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 30 | 22.0 | 12.7 | +9.3 | 51 |
| 6 | Karpaty | 30 | 24.4 | 20.0 | +4.4 | 41 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 30 | 22.6 | 22.2 | +0.4 | 49 |
| 8 | Zorya Luhansk | 30 | 22.1 | 22.9 | -0.8 | 46 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 30 | 12.6 | 16.5 | -3.9 | 31 |
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 30 | 17.2 | 23.2 | -6.0 | 31 |
| 11 | Kryvbas KR | 30 | 21.4 | 27.8 | -6.4 | 48 |
| 12 | Ruh Lviv | 30 | 16.6 | 23.8 | -7.2 | 21 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 30 | 17.4 | 29.0 | -11.6 | 28 |
| 14 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 30 | 18.9 | 32.2 | -13.3 | 32 |
| 15 | Oleksandria | 30 | 10.5 | 25.0 | -14.5 | 17 |
| 16 | SK Poltava | 30 | 10.1 | 36.0 | -25.9 | 13 |