Oviedo vs Getafe Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.1656,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3122,
      "fair_odds_away": 6.04,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.2,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.92,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.36,
      "home_win_prob": 0.5222,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Oviedo or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Oviedo",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Oviedo"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.66,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Oviedo",
      "confidence": 52.1,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "medium",
        "display_text": "Winner : Oviedo",
        "edge": 0.1711,
        "edge_gap": 0.2086,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3503,
        "model_prob": 0.5214,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 16.6,
          "draw": 31.3,
          "home": 52.1
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Oviedo"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.78
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.78,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Oviedo Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.86,
        "market_odds": 2.78,
        "model_odds": 1.92,
        "overround": 2.7,
        "prob_edge": 16.1,
        "value_pct": 44.8,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 10,
        "away_failed_to_score": 15,
        "away_played": 34,
        "away_score_rate": 48.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 17,
        "home_played": 34,
        "home_score_rate": 74.3,
        "no_prob": 62.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 62.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 37.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.66,
        "home_expected": 1.36,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 18.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 13.3
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 12.3
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.9
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Oviedo or Draw",
            "prob": 83.4
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Oviedo or Getafe",
            "prob": 68.8
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Getafe",
            "prob": 47.8
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Oviedo or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 83.4
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 16.6,
        "draw_pct": 31.2,
        "home_pct": 52.2,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Oviedo"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.02,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 32.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 67.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.02,
        "under_prob": 67.1
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 45.1,
        "implied_prob": 36.0,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Oviedo Win",
        "model_prob": 52.2,
        "odds": 2.78
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "best_odds": 12.04,
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        "label": "2-0",
        "probability": 12.3
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 18.0
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.36,
    "homepage_pick": {
      "best_bookmaker": "Unibet",
      "best_odds": 3.5,
      "confidence": "moderate",
      "display_label": "Home Oviedo",
      "edge": 23.6,
      "ev": 0.0,
      "probability": 52.1
    },
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1329,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3503,
        "max_ev": 0.1329,
        "model_prob": 0.5214,
        "side_label": "Oviedo",
        "sort_key": 10269.61,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0312,
        "ev_yes": -0.1075,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0312,
        "no_prob": 62.5,
        "sort_key": 10028.08,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 37.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0002,
        "ev_under": -0.0069,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "over_prob": 32.9,
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        "tier": "lean",
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        "value_side": "over"
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      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 18.0
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 546,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/546.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Getafe",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1391167,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 718,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/718.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Oviedo",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 140,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/140.webp",
      "league_name": "La Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.336,
            "best_odd": 2.91,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0567,
            "ev": -0.1914,
            "implied_prob": 0.3346,
            "model_prob": 0.1657,
            "p_final": 0.2779
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          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.299,
            "best_odd": 3.09,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0007,
            "ev": -0.0284,
            "implied_prob": 0.3151,
            "model_prob": 0.3128,
            "p_final": 0.3144
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3345,
            "best_odd": 2.78,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": 0.1329,
            "implied_prob": 0.3503,
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge_yes": -0.0367,
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          "ev_yes": -0.1075,
          "implied_no": 0.5883,
          "implied_yes": 0.4117,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 1.48,
          "edge_over": 0.0001,
          "edge_under": -0.0001,
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          "ev_under": -0.0069,
          "implied_over": 0.3289,
          "implied_under": 0.6711,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.02,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
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      "confidence": 7.0,
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          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.375,
          "draw_prob": 0.3128,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5214,
          "over_prob": 0.329,
          "total_xg": 2.02,
          "under_prob": 0.671,
          "xg_diff": 0.7
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0572,
          "ev": 0.1329,
          "implied_prob": 0.3503,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.5214,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Oviedo"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0367,
          "ev": 0.0312,
          "implied_prob": 0.5883,
          "model_prob": 0.625,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0001,
          "ev": 0.0002,
          "implied_prob": 0.3289,
          "model_prob": 0.329,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391167,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1329,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1657,
        "draw": 0.3128,
        "home": 0.5214
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Getafe",
        "home": "Oviedo"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.069294,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1329,
        "implied_prob": 0.3503,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.5214,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Oviedo",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391167,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:59:18.536054+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}